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tarheelblue

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Member since: August 08, 2021
Last post: 12/21/2021 01:25 PM ET

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It's definitely a bad look, but I don't see how they can fire him.

Aside from the fact that it would cost them $30 million to fire him, which the athletic department can't really afford to lose right now, what would be the reason for firing him? Because they don't like that his girlfriend is opinionated and bossy? Because they don't like that his girlfriend is 24 years old? Is that really a good reason to fire the head coach before he's even coached a single game? And besides, they knew he was dating her when they hired him, and they didn't have a problem with it at the time. No one would be talking about firing him if he was 30 and she was 24. So then if they fire him because he's 73 and she's 24, couldn't that arguably be illegal age discrimination? ** Edited by tarheelblue at 5/2/2025, 1:53:39 AM

As I have said in previous posts, UNC has made a high risk gamble

It could pay off and UNC will finally break through in football, or it could fail horribly and the athletic department could bankrupt itself. Only time will tell. But at least if it fails they can look back and say, "well, at least we tried and gave it everything we could to make it work".

I have a friend who works in the Disney World parks division.

He tells me that before the pandemic, Disney World ran like a well-oiled machine. But when they shutdown the parks for the pandemic and laid off and furloughed all the park employees, many of the employees who knew how to run the parks never returned after the parks reopened. And even now 4 years later the parks still aren't able to run like they did before the pandemic shutdown. The pandemic basically broke the parks beyond repair.

The Disney parks and resorts are their cash cow, almost 50% of their profit

It's their movie studio and entertainment division that's losing money. ** Edited by tarheelblue at 3/25/2025, 6:55:45 PM

If a conference didn't allow the schools to play, then arguably the schools

would be legally required to leave the conference. But what power does a conference really have to tell 2 schools that they can't play each other? ** Edited by tarheelblue at 3/22/2025, 9:47:01 PM

Every little bit helps.

But the main point is that there is no financial incentive for an ACC school to move to the Big 12. It's a lateral move at best, but with the exit fees it would be a financial disaster.

You're basically proving my point.

I agree with you that the Big 12 is doing well right now relative to the ACC, which is exactly why I said the ACC's best strategy is to hold together for as long as possible. Since the ACC is currently in a position of weakness relative to the Big 12, they need to avoid the conference falling apart right now because that would be the worst case scenario for the ACC and most schools in the conference. ** Edited by tarheelblue at 2/12/2025, 4:49:28 PM

We are all in a race to the bottom.

Next, states will be exempting college football players from criminal laws. Or maybe the state governors will just promise pardons to any D1 college football players that may need one during their college playing career.

The idea that the Big 12 would raid the Pac-12 was fantasy talk too

Until it wasn't. I'm not saying I think that it's likely the ACC will be able to grab some Big 12 schools, but stranger things have happened. If the TV networks decide that they don't need 4 power conferences, they only need 3, then who knows whether they will choose the ACC or the Big 12 to be that 3rd conference? 2036 is still over a decade away and a lot can happen in that time. Getting a few (hundred) million from FSU now is meaningless in the long run. The ACC's best strategy right now is to hold together for as long as possible to give them the best chance to still be the number 3 conference when the music stops. ** Edited by tarheelblue at 2/12/2025, 4:36:06 PM

I don't think there is any scenario where the B1G would take NC State

I could see the SEC taking NC State as a package deal to get UNC, or MAYBE taking NC State to get into the State of North Carolina IF UNC goes to the B1G.

It's all good.

I'm obviously a UNC fan since I went to school there, but I post here because I'm also a VT fan. My dad went to Tech and used to take me to the football games when I was a kid back in the 90s. So I want Tech to be great in football again too. ** Edited by tarheelblue at 12/14/2024, 11:19:01 AM

Just looking at the numbers, this will increase the budget by at least $30M

overnight. That money has to come from somewhere. Either they increase revenue from donors or some other way, or they have to cut the budget for other sports.

I am cautiously optimistic.

When I first heard the rumors I didn't think it would ever happen. Then when it really happened and the details of the deal came out I was shocked that UNC had finally decided to go all in on football. I honestly don't know where all the money is going to come from to financially sustain this, but they just seem to be going off the idea that "if you build it, they (5-star players and multi-million dollar donors) will come. I can see this going two ways. Either this will succeed and UNC will start winning conference championships and making it to the playoffs regularly, or it will fail spectacularly and we will still be mediocre in football but with a broke athletic department. This reminds me a little of what SMU did to get into a power conference. With the shifting college football landscape, SMU knew that the time was running out for them to ever become relevant in football, so they swung for the fences and it seems to have paid off for them. I think that the UNC decision makers feel that the window for becoming relevant in football is quickly closing, as the big boys in the SEC and B1G consolidate power, and that it's now or never for UNC to just go for it. And the more I think about it, the more I'm glad they did. I love college basketball (and some of the other sports), but the new reality is that if you aren't relevant in football then you aren't really relevant at all. And if all of this fails spectacularly, at least we can say that we tried and gave it everything we could. As for whether it's good for the ACC, I would say that it's always good when another ACC school finally decides to treat football seriously. If the ACC is going to have a future, more ACC schools are going to have to start taking football more seriously too. And just FYI, it's spelled "Belichick". ** Edited by tarheelblue at 12/14/2024, 1:54:31 AM

We live in a winner-take-all economy now.

The athletes at the very top will get paid millions and everyone else will get nothing.

"It is becoming increasingly clear that there is no longer any floor."

Yeah, because it is becoming increasingly clear that there is no longer any ceiling on the price.

But not always

I remember when Maryland left the ACC in 2012 based on how much money the B1G was projecting they would make over the ACC over the next 10 to 20 years and I thought the projections back then were crazy. I just couldn't imagine in 2012 how the B1G could make that much more money than the ACC in the future. Turns out that I just had a bad imagination.

There is no good reason for any ACC school to leave for the Big12

Even if FSU wins their legal case and a judge rules that the ACC GoR can't be enforced against them, I don't think FSU will leave the ACC to join the Big12 or be independent. After FSU is talked back down off the ledge, they will just stay in the ACC until the B1G or SEC comes calling. These rumors about FSU and Clemson going to the Big12 are just nonsense. FSU and Clemson aren't spending hundreds of millions in exit fees and legal fees to break the ACC's grant of rights so that they can go sign up for the Big12's exit fees and GoR. ** Edited by tarheelblue at 7/24/2024, 1:05:49 PM

Yes ND did contractually agree that it would only join the ACC for football

before 2036. So if ND joins the B1G before 2036, that would be a breach of contract and ND would owe the ACC damages for that breach. Now how much would those damages be? Nobody really knows. But ND joining any other conference before 2036 would be very expensive and messy legally.

There will be no "P3". There will only be a P2. And anyone who thinks that

the Big12 will ever be a legitimate "power conference" going forward is just as delusional as people who think that the ACC will be a power conference in 10 years. In football games and in life there are winners and losers. The SEC and B1G are the winners and the Big12 and ACC are the losers. And private equity isn't going to change that.

Reducing supply of tickets will allow them to increase ticket prices.

In an era where every game is televised, stadium capacity doesn't need to be as high. And being at the stadium has to become more of a premium experience. This is something more schools will do in the future.

Would FSU and Clemson have to super-duper promise not to break the B12 GoR?

Seriously, how could the Big 12 trust them not to do the exact same thing they are doing now with the ACC to get out of the Big 12 GoR early if the SEC or B1G came calling? I would make FSU post a $500 million bond secured by the university's endowment assets to join a new conference. ** Edited by tarheelblue at 5/18/2024, 7:18:53 PM

Duke's football stadium capacity is 40k, which is more than Vanderbilt

But Duke basketball is where their value lies. ** Edited by tarheelblue at 3/29/2024, 9:52:51 PM

Georgia Tech or Duke might get some interest from the B1G

But Duke would probably have to be a package deal with UNC for the B1G to go for that. ** Edited by tarheelblue at 3/29/2024, 8:18:45 PM