O
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No. Keep an eye on B1G
There's absolutely NO way they leave Judas (UCLA) and Brutus (USC) on an island. Sure, they say they are done for now, but they are lying cowards, as we all know. Washington and Oregon are the most valuable teams left, but adding them is politically frought and not really worth the hassle. They will absolutely not take the stowaways from Corvallis and Pullman. I expect Stanford and Cal will get the call. Then the B1G waits.
SEC is waiting out our GOR. I expect a few years before the GOR expires, it will be financially practical for Clemson and FSU to leave. Will the SEC take more? Maybe, but I don't expect them to be looking further west. There are better targets within the southeast (NC and VA). If the SEC was willing to go west, they would be doing it now. They are not.
Big 12 adding the four corners schools (Utah, Colorado, Arizona, and ASU) now makes absolutely perfect sense for all involved. I don't think any of them are seriously being considered in the P2. It's not ideal, but they can survive and compete with ACC, for tier 2 supremacy.
ACC remains in limbo, unable to expand or flee. If they lose only FSU and Clemson in 5-6 years, they will battle the Big 12 in tier 2. Should they lose more, I can see what's left of the ACC falling to tier 3. If they can make the "loose partnership" with the Pac2-10 work, it could redefine conferences and their purpose in the new era. That could possibly save both from destruction.
Pac-12 falls apart. Washington and Oregon may be forced to go independent until the next round of realignment. Wazzou and Oregon State may try to do the same or simply accept their fate and join Mountain West in tier 3.
Thread Replies (30)
Is this round of expansion over?
-- NovaHokie27
Jul 16, 2022 at 09:39 PM ET
NovaHokie27
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07/16/22 09:39 PM ET
…yep. it’s pretty much done for the next decade.**
-- chumley
Jul 18, 2022 at 02:42 PM ET
chumley
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07/18/22 02:42 PM ET
No. As I have been saying, there will be a B1G western division when all
-- 133193Hokie
Jul 17, 2022 at 11:32 AM ET
133193Hokie
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07/17/22 11:32 AM ET
I want to agree with you. But I don't understand the wait.
-- Maroon Baboon
Jul 17, 2022 at 05:45 PM ET
Maroon Baboon
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07/17/22 05:45 PM ET
ND has to pay for further Big Ten expansion
-- TerryD
Jul 17, 2022 at 06:25 PM ET
TerryD
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07/17/22 06:25 PM ET
ND might welcome some persuasion from Phil Knight**
-- 33laszlo99
Jul 17, 2022 at 06:48 PM ET
33laszlo99
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07/17/22 06:48 PM ET
Thing is, Phil Knight is 84 years old.
-- hokieZ71
Jul 17, 2022 at 08:00 PM ET
hokieZ71
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07/17/22 08:00 PM ET
I wouldn’t be surprised to see the ACC make a move.
-- Victor Tango
Jul 17, 2022 at 10:50 AM ET
Victor Tango
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07/17/22 10:50 AM ET
I think there more to come soon
-- HokieAl
Jul 17, 2022 at 10:39 AM ET
HokieAl
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07/17/22 10:39 AM ET
Involving the B10, SEC, and ACC - YES ; PAC10 and B12 - No**
-- hokiesrule98
Jul 17, 2022 at 10:24 AM ET
hokiesrule98
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07/17/22 10:24 AM ET
Maybe, but I find it hard to believe the B10 will leave ...
-- Atlee Hokie
Jul 17, 2022 at 09:45 AM ET
Atlee Hokie
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07/17/22 09:45 AM ET
Is the money just too exclusive?
-- 33laszlo99
Jul 17, 2022 at 06:23 PM ET
33laszlo99
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07/17/22 06:23 PM ET
Are potential expansion candidates worth their take?
-- WarHog38
Jul 17, 2022 at 06:49 PM ET
WarHog38
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07/17/22 06:49 PM ET
This latest wave of raids have made in-state schools staying together
-- Maroon Baboon
Jul 17, 2022 at 01:01 PM ET
Maroon Baboon
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07/17/22 01:01 PM ET
the key is can the state legislatures, direct both must be invited.
-- Mercury
Jul 17, 2022 at 02:09 PM ET
Mercury
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07/17/22 02:09 PM ET
If I had to guess, the B1X's next move depends on when ND finally commits
-- EDGEMAN
Jul 17, 2022 at 09:38 AM ET
EDGEMAN
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07/17/22 09:38 AM ET
When ND jumps, it will be to the Big 10.
-- Atlee Hokie
Jul 17, 2022 at 09:49 AM ET
Atlee Hokie
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07/17/22 09:49 AM ET
Pretty clear money is a main driver for ND, so...
-- EDGEMAN
Jul 17, 2022 at 10:35 AM ET
EDGEMAN
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07/17/22 10:35 AM ET
Don't minimize Tier One vs. Tier Two
-- TerryD
Jul 17, 2022 at 12:04 PM ET
TerryD
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07/17/22 12:04 PM ET
As i have said, Gavin Newsom in the wildcard
-- MrBayAreaHokie
Jul 16, 2022 at 10:40 PM ET
MrBayAreaHokie
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07/16/22 10:40 PM ET
He is not going to do anything to block UCLA except maybe some
-- 133193Hokie
Jul 17, 2022 at 11:31 AM ET
133193Hokie
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07/17/22 11:31 AM ET
This reminds me of how we got into the ACC in 03
-- RamblinHokie
Jul 17, 2022 at 11:08 AM ET
RamblinHokie
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07/17/22 11:08 AM ET
Nah - he's too busy trying to lure Florida residents to California
-- VPI_1998
Jul 17, 2022 at 07:51 AM ET
VPI_1998
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07/17/22 07:51 AM ET
Would he also look to block USC?**
-- HoakieCup
Jul 17, 2022 at 07:49 AM ET
HoakieCup
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07/17/22 07:49 AM ET
I doubt it cause they are private AND
-- MrBayAreaHokie
Jul 17, 2022 at 09:55 AM ET
MrBayAreaHokie
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07/17/22 09:55 AM ET
Pay attention to the end of the PAC's negotiating window (August 5?)
-- hokieZ71
Jul 16, 2022 at 09:50 PM ET
hokieZ71
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07/16/22 09:50 PM ET