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9
97Hokie OP
Mar 27, 2024 at 04:59 PM ET
Help me understand. Why would either the SEC or Big10 take another school?
At this point both conferences have what they want. They are making a lot more than the ACC who is 3rd in VT revenue and playoff money. They have made sure, without picking them apart like they did to the PAC10, that the ACC and Big12 stay as nothing more than little brothers. The SEC makes $11 mil more per school than the ACC and the Big10 makes $20mil more per school than the ACC, in TV revenue. Both the SEC and Big 10 have a playoff deal that gets them around $8 more per school than the ACC. What properties are left, in any conference, that would change these numbers for either the SEC or Big 10? Notre Dame? Unless the SEC and Big 10 want to dismantle the NCAA why would they add more schools?

32 Replies

V
VT757to276
plus remember..the media companies pull the strings and don't
necessarily care about an individual team distribution....so if it makes sense for espn/fox to have X team(s) added, they'll push the lever
tallahasseehokie tallahasseehokie
I think they are done until the next swarm of growth is required
FSU and Clemson have invites and will be the last camel's under the tent for a while, maybe a long while.
S
Synaesthesia
Because explosive organic growth is over, consolidation through M&A next
HokieAl HokieAl
It’s actually pretty simple. P2 currently only covers half the country
And they only cover a quarter of the total FBS football schools. For all the self promotion, the conferences know that they need more coverage across states. And they know that there are still several valuable properties available for football matchups. Schools like FSU and Norte Dame provide good brands for matchups. Schools like VT and Arizona provide new states with large populations for cable and streaming subscribers. There is still value in P2 expansion. And the money will get pulled away from the ACC/B12 and shifted over to the P2. That current money gap will grow even more between the P2 and everyone else.
M
Marooned
You’re forgetting that they’re also competing with each other
The SEC particularly can’t stay static or risk being poached for the likes of UT and UF.
Seikoh_04 Seikoh_04
They are better off waiting for the desperation to be at peak level
P
Pride_and_Joy
Notre Dame, Clemson, and FSU would all be TV draws.
I could see the B1G wanting the latter two to add South Carolina and Florida viewership. Increased viewership only helps with the next negotiation for TV deals. If it’s about viewership and geography, UVA and VT would be valuable as well. Hell, the B1G added Maryland and Rutgers. It’s clearly not about football performance.
T
Truthahn
The B10 has an inferiority complex wrt the SEC.
Texas and OK kicked that into overdrive. They need FSU and Clemson to keep up, plus some of them think crushing the ACC is the way to get ND. At this point, I would not be surprised to see a couple B10 teams leave to join the SEC. What if Michigan, OSU and Penn State joined the SEC?
reestuart reestuart
lol. That doesn’t make a bit of sense.
P
Pride_and_Joy
Why?
At present, the B1G tv deal is superior to the SEC.
reestuart reestuart
yeah, nobody is leaving the Big Ten by choice.
H
Hokie1992
It is about markets
The question is how the P2 schools view VT, UVa, NC State, UNC, Wake and Duke to capture the markets in North Carolina and Virginia.
P
Pride_and_Joy
That’s what I said. Viewership and geography.
H
Hokie1992
That is Virginia Techs problem
Our football team has viewership. But we compete with UVa and UNC to say we deliver the markets in DC, Richmond, Charlotte and the Triangle.
P
Pride_and_Joy
If not for the GOR,
I honestly think UVA and UNC to B1G and VT and NcSU to SEC would make a lot of sense.
H
Hokie1992
I agree
The hiring of Sands, Whit and Pry all indicate Virginia Tech has been positioning itself for Big Ten membership. Stuff just went crazy with the demise of the Pac-12. The question for the SEC and Big Ten is whether in the final vision, they want to divide Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia, or if the SEC gets the southeast and the Big Ten gets the Northeast and Midwest. The other scenario lost in the discussion is if the number of schools worthy that want in force a P4. I expect Congress, the Courts and TV networks will dive into that mess.
P
Pride_and_Joy
Yeah, I was assuming they would compete for the markets
But perhaps not.
H
Hokie1992
That’s where the six hour radius matters
To make DC, Harrisburg PA, Charlotte and Raleigh/Durham part of our market area.
V
VTFan29
If it means more money for them, why not?
Seikoh_04 Seikoh_04
But it doesn't
You have to be as valuable as the existing average team in the conference just to be scratch and you would be taking up a TV slot
V
VTFan29
I wouldn't say so. There are untapped TV markets those conferences
have not been able to crack.
Seikoh_04 Seikoh_04
Those untapped markets aren't making the ACC enough money
V
VTFan29
Or the ACC doesn't know what it has and agreed to a contract that
undervalues some of it's members.
reestuart reestuart
The Big Ten has 3 OTA networks, FS1, FS2, and the BTN. They have plenty
of slots available. I don't think they'd consider adding more than a couple of more schools, but they'll be able to make it work. SEC is much more limited, IMO.
E
EDGEMAN
The SEC has two OTA networks, ESPN, ESPN2, ESPNU, ESPN News, and the SECN
Don't think they're behind the B1X...at least not by very much.
reestuart reestuart
SEC only has ABC now. Big Ten has Fox, NBC, and CBS. Everything else
is cable. With NBC, the Big Ten also has Peacock, which seems to be growing like crazy.
E
EDGEMAN
The ACC has the WB and ABC
Although the SEC will get the bulk of the ABC games now.
E
EDGEMAN
Didn't know they lost CBS
Just goes to show there will be fewer ACC FB games on ESPN's channels
reestuart reestuart
Yep. That's what VT and ACC fans should fear. They aren't getting primo
slots on ABC/ESPN now. Losing CBS and picking Texas & Oklahoma up further squeezes opportunities.
E
EDGEMAN
Which furthers the idea that VT needs to get better in football ASAP!
Feeling pretty good about the direction of the program, so we seem to be on the right track.
Seikoh_04 Seikoh_04
VT needs more people to care about watching football ASAP
If we are good and only shown in the ACC network, it won't translate to value.
A
ACC_Hoops
$20M a year deficit.... FFS we bought off on this
must fix immediately or forget it should be pressing flesh on every idea; ban the SEC B10 channels from the basic tier; unconstitutional sure but it will take forever to get to supremes and they might not want to hear it; force ESPN to be outside of basic tier unless they renegotiate UVA and VT should be hammering this stuff, making life better for the grannies who pay $8 a month to ESPN, $Y a month the B10, etc, etc.