js93
J
170
Posts
0
Threads
249
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Member since:
August 10, 2012
Last post:
04/01/2019 08:10 AM ET
Posting History (119)
Baseball Board
2 mo ago
"play good player" is not a nuanced argument. Needs more critical thought
To decide who is best to start and when.
Baseball Board
2 mo ago
Baseball Board
2 mo ago
This is outstanding hindsight bias. You manage your team to win the thing
If team wins game 1 and has ace for a game 2 into the winners bracket, going to look really smart.
If say UCLA wins their game 1, you blow your ace game 1 and get hammered by UCLA in game 2, looks less smart.
Softball Board
2 mo ago
Softball Board
2 mo ago
Softball Board
2 mo ago
Softball Board
2 mo ago
Deservedly banned, then. Let fans have their own space to be as delusional
As they want. If a UVA fan came here talking trash they should be banned, too.
Softball Board
2 mo ago
Men's Basketball Board
4 mo ago
Men's Basketball Board
4 mo ago
Going to another school's board to troll is a terrible look.
If it happened here, the post would rightly be removed, too. On reddit if you go to another team's subreddit to troll you get banned from both places.
Softball Board
4 mo ago
Softball Board
5 mo ago
That's great to see all those favored games. Helpful to keep in mind math-
If we take all those numbers at face value, the chance of going 4-0 across 4 games against those teams is just 18% (even though individually favored in each one). So please no freaking out if/when our Hokies drop a game or two, they're doing great!
Softball Board
5 mo ago
Softball Board
5 mo ago
Softball Board
5 mo ago
Softball Board
5 mo ago
Idk what that acronym means. I'm sure they'd like to win, but I don't think
Losing means they'd rather schedule creampuffs in later years.
Softball Board
5 mo ago
Softball Board
5 mo ago
Honestly, I don't like comments like this. It's meaningful to both teams
Just because a team happens to lose or underperform in a game doesn't mean it's less meaningful to them. Both teams are trying to win. Thankfully, our Hokies came out on top last week.
Softball Board
5 mo ago
Football Board
6 mo ago
If your NY resolution is to win, avoid pre-game bets and go with live odds
People are very reactive to plays and overreactions can be exploited.
Men's Basketball Board
7 mo ago
Throwing around fat, bald, and gay as insults is lame, it's not 2005
And makes us look worse than just whining about refs in an article.
Football Board
7 mo ago
Softball Board
7 mo ago
There might not be a 3rd scorer. But if there is, yes
As that team would have scored at least two different times to the other team's one.
** Edited by js93 at 12/7/2025, 12:26:04 AM
Softball Board
7 mo ago
I'm a math nerd, but this is probably more about that they scored at all
Not as much that they scored first. If you score first that guarantees you scored at least 1 this game. Would be more interested in seeing a stat about who wins the game if opponent scores first but your team scores at least one run, would be much closer to even.
To be even more esoteric, I'd be interested in the win rate if your opponent scores exactly one run first (as in no other runs that inning) and your team scores at least one run, I'd guess you'd see the team that scores 2nd with a winning record there.
** Edited by js93 at 12/6/2025, 12:10:26 PM
Football Board
8 mo ago
Football Board
8 mo ago
Football Board
10 mo ago
Football Board
10 mo ago
It's math. Watch any Lions game. You are very likely to convert.
And even if you don't you can still get a stop.
Football Board
10 mo ago
Happy to win, but get with the times. You go for it on 4th and 1.
Analytics support this.
** Edited by js93 at 9/27/2025, 10:29:31 PM
Baseball Board
1 y ago
Baseball Board
1 y ago
Wildly untrue. My coworker's son plays for them and he's studying physics
Not that it needs more qualification, but coworker is a senior level engineer, so apple not falling far from tree here.
** Edited by js93 at 6/4/2025, 8:21:14 AM
Softball Board
1 y ago
Softball Board
1 y ago
2 seeds would have been moved around since Stanford couldn't go to VT.
Liberty probably wouldn't necessarily ended up @A&M
Softball Board
1 y ago
Know you're teasing, but I would say they're almost completely independent!
** Edited by js93 at 5/18/2025, 11:40:07 AM
Softball Board
1 y ago
Warning, nerdy math-driven (thanks for the degrees , VT!) rant below
It is my biggest pet peeve when people say things like "I think the season ends today", what does that mean?
Sports are probabilistic, not deterministic. Hokies have already shown they can win a game at Alabama this year, so there is very obviously a realistic chance they can win two games.
If the Hokies play 100 games at Alabama, how many do you think they win? 40? 45? I'll say .45, then then the chance of winning the regional is .45*.45, good for about 20%.
So, my question again is, what does you think the season ends today mean? That it is more likely than not we go home? Well, obviously, according to the math. But things with a 20% chance happen all the time! Our Hokies can absolutely win today!
Softball Board
1 y ago
Pulled some of your quotes today
"Sophie nibbling already"
"WHAT is Zoe doing"
"About to pitch our season away"
"Is Cori official in a slump?"
Just whiny criticisms.
Softball Board
1 y ago
Softball Board
1 y ago
Softball Board
1 y ago
1. Don't want to expend energy 2. Different pitcher 3. And most importantly
It is not the end of the world if the team doesn't play perfect in every circumstance ever! It is even not the end of the world if they don't win! We're all rooting for them to win and would be thrilled, but it is a game. Not worth badmouthing the team and incessantly complaining.
Softball Board
1 y ago
Softball Board
1 y ago