J
Joined:
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I'm a math nerd, but this is probably more about that they scored at all
Not as much that they scored first. If you score first that guarantees you scored at least 1 this game. Would be more interested in seeing a stat about who wins the game if opponent scores first but your team scores at least one run, would be much closer to even.
To be even more esoteric, I'd be interested in the win rate if your opponent scores exactly one run first (as in no other runs that inning) and your team scores at least one run, I'd guess you'd see the team that scores 2nd with a winning record there.
** Edited by js93 at 12/6/2025, 12:10:26 PM
Thread Replies (20)
Cori was so deadly at leadoff, and this shows why.
-- maroonhiker
Dec 08, 2025 at 08:54 PM ET
maroonhiker
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12/08/25 08:54 PM ET
If only she had more people on in front of her
-- VAHokie89
Dec 28, 2025 at 11:23 AM ET
VAHokie89
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12/28/25 11:23 AM ET
Could be Lynch or Mizelle the next 3-4 years.**
-- schubee
Dec 09, 2025 at 12:19 PM ET
schubee
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12/09/25 12:19 PM ET
If you leadoff with your best home run hitter, Michelle Chatfield is #1.**
-- laphroaig
Dec 09, 2025 at 07:01 PM ET
laphroaig
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12/09/25 07:01 PM ET
I think if you are incorporating HR's into the mix you also want speed and
-- HokieAllMyLife
Dec 10, 2025 at 03:25 PM ET
HokieAllMyLife
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12/10/25 03:25 PM ET
A slugger behind them prevents putting another possible score on 1st base.
-- laphroaig
Dec 12, 2025 at 04:43 AM ET
laphroaig
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12/12/25 04:43 AM ET
Your pitcher has to be able to throw strikes from pitch #1. Mickey . .
-- MidloHokie
Dec 07, 2025 at 09:11 PM ET
MidloHokie
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12/07/25 09:11 PM ET
Like soccer. That first goal is a killer. **
-- TomTurkey
Dec 06, 2025 at 05:32 PM ET
TomTurkey
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12/06/25 05:32 PM ET
In soccer, the only goal can be a killer.**
-- laphroaig
Dec 06, 2025 at 07:07 PM ET
laphroaig
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12/06/25 07:07 PM ET
I'm wearing mittens ergo. . . . . no fingers! Can't count. :-)**
-- laphroaig
Dec 06, 2025 at 07:12 PM ET
laphroaig
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12/06/25 07:12 PM ET
I'm a math nerd, but this is probably more about that they scored at all
◄
-- js93
Dec 06, 2025 at 12:08 PM ET
js93
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12/06/25 12:08 PM ET
That tells part of the story, but not the whole thing:
-- brickhaus
Dec 08, 2025 at 03:04 PM ET
brickhaus
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12/08/25 03:04 PM ET
In your math about the team that scores 2nd, wouldn't the team that scores
-- laphroaig
Dec 06, 2025 at 01:50 PM ET
laphroaig
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12/06/25 01:50 PM ET
There might not be a 3rd scorer. But if there is, yes
-- js93
Dec 07, 2025 at 12:22 AM ET
js93
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12/07/25 12:22 AM ET
The team that scores the most wins 100%. Thus ends our lesson for today.
-- HokieAllMyLife
Dec 08, 2025 at 09:39 AM ET
HokieAllMyLife
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12/08/25 09:39 AM ET
unless the home team can slow roll the last inning to make sure it was rain
-- VermontHokie
Dec 08, 2025 at 12:46 PM ET
VermontHokie
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12/08/25 12:46 PM ET
oof. WAR Mickey Dean!**
-- HokieAllMyLife
Dec 08, 2025 at 12:52 PM ET
HokieAllMyLife
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12/08/25 12:52 PM ET
In a similar vein, Big Innings also lead to wins
-- VTChip
Dec 05, 2025 at 05:35 PM ET
VTChip
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12/05/25 05:35 PM ET
So combining those two stats, there's about 150% chance of winning if you
-- laphroaig
Dec 06, 2025 at 01:44 PM ET
laphroaig
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12/06/25 01:44 PM ET