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That tells part of the story, but not the whole thing:

I did the math and came to the this conclusion: As best as I can tell from ncaa.com, there were approximately 7313 D1 softball games played last year. Of those, 1727 (or 23.6%) resulted in a shutout. If 71.6% of the teams that scored first won, that should mean that there were 5236 instances where the first scorer won, and 2077 where they lost. Now if we remove the shutouts, we see that the first-scoring team has a record of 3509-2077 in games where both teams scored, or 62.8%. This isn't as eye-popping as 71.6%, but still significant. I'm still skeptical that it really means much in terms of the importance of scoring first. Obviously, scoring more is how you win the game, and if you have more runs, it's more likely that one of your runs was the first one.
Posted: 12/08/2025 at 03:04 PM ET
(In response to this post by js93)

Thread Replies (20)

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Interesting stat for the day...
VTChip 12/05/25 05:16 PM ET
Cori was so deadly at leadoff, and this shows why.
maroonhiker 12/08/25 08:54 PM ET
If only she had more people on in front of her
VAHokie89 12/28/25 11:23 AM ET
Could be Lynch or Mizelle the next 3-4 years.**
schubee 12/09/25 12:19 PM ET
If you leadoff with your best home run hitter, Michelle Chatfield is #1.**
laphroaig 12/09/25 07:01 PM ET
I think if you are incorporating HR's into the mix you also want speed and
HokieAllMyLife 12/10/25 03:25 PM ET
A slugger behind them prevents putting another possible score on 1st base.
laphroaig 12/12/25 04:43 AM ET
Your pitcher has to be able to throw strikes from pitch #1. Mickey . .
MidloHokie 12/07/25 09:11 PM ET
Like soccer. That first goal is a killer. **
TomTurkey 12/06/25 05:32 PM ET
In soccer, the only goal can be a killer.**
laphroaig 12/06/25 07:07 PM ET
Ergo, first goal. **
TomTurkey 12/06/25 07:10 PM ET
I'm wearing mittens ergo. . . . . no fingers! Can't count. :-)**
laphroaig 12/06/25 07:12 PM ET
I'm a math nerd, but this is probably more about that they scored at all
js93 12/06/25 12:08 PM ET
That tells part of the story, but not the whole thing:
brickhaus 12/08/25 03:04 PM ET
In your math about the team that scores 2nd, wouldn't the team that scores
laphroaig 12/06/25 01:50 PM ET
There might not be a 3rd scorer. But if there is, yes
js93 12/07/25 12:22 AM ET
The team that scores the most wins 100%. Thus ends our lesson for today.
HokieAllMyLife 12/08/25 09:39 AM ET
unless the home team can slow roll the last inning to make sure it was rain
VermontHokie 12/08/25 12:46 PM ET
oof. WAR Mickey Dean!**
HokieAllMyLife 12/08/25 12:52 PM ET
In a similar vein, Big Innings also lead to wins
VTChip 12/05/25 05:35 PM ET
So combining those two stats, there's about 150% chance of winning if you
laphroaig 12/06/25 01:44 PM ET