ACC Presidents meeting tomorrow
Link:
Per ESPN
23 Replies
2y
have asked to be considered. WSU, OSU, Colorado St, Boise St ... I'm just throwing out the first teams that come to mind. It seems to me there are going to have to be more Western states added now or at least in the next few years.
(In response to this post by cvillehokie92)
2y
The ACC got the 2 biggest population states west of the Mississippi River, all the schools left now don't add anything to the tv contract. 80% of the US population lies to the east of the 98th meridian, only 20% of the population is west of it, and California makes up 65% of that 20%. So, about 7% of the US population resides in the states of WA, OR, AZ, NM, NV, ID, MT, WY, CO, UT, AK, HI, and the western parts of TX, OK, KS, NE, SD, and ND. That's why the loss of USC and UCLA killed the PAC12
(In response to this post by seekoHoG)
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Stech
2y
people in Southern Cal than Northern Cal. If we are going to do this on population and not football interest, why not grab a Southern Cal school too? Academic snobbery?
(In response to this post by mrcaniac)
2y
** Edited by tarheelblue at 8/31/2023, 8:09:19 PM
(In response to this post by Stech)
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Stech
2y
things can change dramatically. Besides are you saying Cal Football and SMU football are great ratings? If we are going to do this, grab San Diego State and hope the trade up helps them like they hope SMU will in Dallas.
Maybe they will get invited later, but if we are out there, get Southern California too.
(In response to this post by tarheelblue)
2y
Cal and Stanford will probably get better TV ratings in Southern California than San Diego State anyway.
(In response to this post by Stech)
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Stech
2y
don’t even like each other. Cable hook ups are dropping like a led weight, ratings are back and mean more each day. You will not get So Cal ratings with No Cal schools, ignoring that area is like ignoring the state of North Carolina, because you are in Virginia. Terrible business approach, and just shows we don’t know the markets.
(In response to this post by tarheelblue)
2y
San Diego State would be much worse. At least Stanford and SMU are willing to pay their own way out of pocket and have good academics. San Diego State adds nothing.
** Edited by tarheelblue at 8/31/2023, 10:42:26 PM
(In response to this post by Stech)
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Stech
2y
I like regional conferences, but it really doesn’t matter, as your UNC Board of Trustees is against it.
(In response to this post by tarheelblue)
2y
And UNC only gets 1 vote. It takes 4 to stop expansion.
** Edited by tarheelblue at 8/31/2023, 11:49:54 PM
(In response to this post by Stech)
What is the minimum size does a state need to be for the ACC to consider
adding a school from that state? I'm thinking in terms of states that would be new to the ACC footprint, and in terms of TV money.
(In response to this post by mrcaniac)
2y
Roughly 25% of the US population is a pay-tv subscriber, so any new school would have to add about $20M a year in instate subscriptions to make sure that the other schools break even and not lose money. At roughly $1 a month for the instate fee, then divide the fee in half for ESPN's cut, there would need to be about 2M pay tv subs in the state, so a population of 8M+.
So, TN, AZ, WA, NJ, MI, OH, IL.
TheoreticallyRoughly 25% of the US population is a pay-tv subscriber, so any new school would have to add about $20M a year in instate subscriptions to make sure that the other schools break even and not lose money. At roughly $1 a month for the instate fee, then divide the fee in half for ESPN's cut, there would need to be about 2M pay tv subs in the state, so a population of 8M+.
So, TN, AZ, WA, NJ, MI, OH, IL.
Roughly 25% of the US population is a pay-tv subscriber, so any new school would have to add about $20M a year in instate subscriptions to make sure that the other schools break even and not lose money. At roughly $1 a month for the instate fee, then divide the fee in half for ESPN's cut, there would need to be about 2M pay tv subs in the state, so a population of 8M+.
So, TN, AZ, WA, NJ, MI, OH, IL.
Theoretically, SMU, Cal, and Stanford could add an additional $200M a year in subscriber fees to the ACC Network that would be split among the schools and ESPN.
(In response to this post by Maroon Baboon)
So would you take Memphis and/or Wazzu? And a question about Oregon State.
And I know the state of Oregon is under your threshold, but would it be worth it to take Oregon State for an additional travel partner for Stanford and Cal and possible Wazzu? For every West Coast team we take, that's one less trans-continental trip someone needs to make. Plus, they've been conference mates for generations.
(In response to this post by mrcaniac)
2y
San Francisco to Corvallis is close to 600 miles, and to Pullman is 850+ miles. Blacksburg to Tallahassee is almost 650 miles and I don't think anyone would think of VT and FSU as travel partners.
As for Memphis, their location makes a lot of sense, but I'm not sure that they can afford the jump in moving up to the level of the ACC. If you look at UMCP and Rutgers, they are having a difficult time making the move to the B1G because they just didn't have the income production before joining. Getting that extra TV money meant that they were getting more, but now they were going to have to spend more, and that is why they just can't gain traction.
It's the financial health of athletic departments that are why the conferences spend time vetting schools before inviting them so that they know if the school can actually compete at that level for the next 25+ years.
(In response to this post by Maroon Baboon)
2y
But the bag thing is that those states are all losing population (or at least aren't really growing much).
** Edited by tarheelblue at 8/31/2023, 8:13:48 PM
(In response to this post by Maroon Baboon)
2y
to get the votes. Tulane would be a good travel partner for SMU and get the ACC into another large state.
One item I would like to see come out of this would be for ESPN strike a deal with Apple or Amazon to stream some games. Take Apple's Pac-12 offer, add it to the pot and give them some weekly games.
(In response to this post by seekoHoG)
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VTBoar
2y
results are released, like VT to the ACC was? If you think there is a chance what do you think it will be? Saturday can't get here quick enough.
(In response to this post by cvillehokie92)
2y
to concessions for those wanting to leave the conference - ie promised something for their future exit in exchange for a yes vote
** Edited by Hokie12thman at 8/31/2023, 5:10:49 PM
(In response to this post by VTBoar)
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2hhoop3
2y
promise somebody something for their future exit in order to gain their vote for a current expansion you probably shouldn't be doing the current expansion to start with.
(In response to this post by Hokie12thman)
2y
hedge - just in case - the conference falls apart a yr or 13 yrs from now
(In response to this post by 2hhoop3)
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hokieZ71
2y
It’s possible in 2031, if FSU and Clemson leave that the ACC could be better looking than the Big XII to WVU, Cincinnati and UCF. Potentially Arizona State, Arizona and Utah.
The ACC just needs to keep its membership at 15.
Thinking that the Big XII is automatically signing a bigger contract in 2031 or whenever their next deal starts is not an automatic. The ACC’s payout, which is virtually even with the Big XII, is guaranteed through 2036. (and with step increases)
With less travel and similar money, WVU, Cincinnati and UCF may be open to an east coast conference.
** Edited by hokieZ71 at 8/31/2023, 5:29:26 PM
** Edited by hokieZ71 at 8/31/2023, 5:30:47 PM
(In response to this post by Hokie12thman)
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Stech
2y
(In response to this post by Hokie12thman)