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Only way would be if ESPN simultaneously extended ACC media rights deal.
I mean, the ACC isn't going to slit its own throat.
So say, in the late 2020's, the same day as the ACC announces it has agreed to lessened penalties for schools leaving the ACC by 2036, ESPN also announces a media rights extension with the ACC through 2042.
This allows ACC schools with P2 openings to bolt (I can't think there would be any more than 4), as long as they can pay the lessened penalty. The thing is, the extended media rights deal will keep any ACC members that the Big XII would like to cherry pick locked in with the ACC. Why would Louisville, VT, NC State, Pitt, UVA, NC State, Wake, Duke, GT desire to leave the quaint neighborhood they presently occupy for the same place halfway across the country with a bunch of schools they don't associate with?
The thing here is what happens between the Big XII and ACC. Do they stay in equilibrium? Or do they try to kill each other? Do ESPN and Fox back one conference primarily, like what has happened with the B1G and SEC?
IF, the money from ESPN for the ACC extension exceeds the Big XII's contract by enough, it puts the ACC in position to take from the Big XII. WVU, Utah and Cincinnati would be potential first choices. This of course would only happen if ESPN decides to back the ACC while Fox backs the Big XII. I think the ACC vs B12 scenario is highly unlikely. But a scenario where ESPN pays off the ACC-lite to let the power teams in the ACC head to the SEC could be a possibility.
** Edited by hokieZ71 at 2/13/2025, 1:34:35 PM
** Edited by hokieZ71 at 2/13/2025, 1:35:38 PM
Thread Replies (15)
Can someone make a solid argument why you think the ACC will cut penalties?
-- Stech
Feb 12, 2025 at 07:51 PM ET
Stech
•
02/12/25 07:51 PM ET
Only way would be if ESPN simultaneously extended ACC media rights deal.
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-- hokieZ71
Feb 13, 2025 at 01:31 PM ET
hokieZ71
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02/13/25 01:31 PM ET
I agree with the scenario with a caveat
-- Sunsetunderground
Feb 13, 2025 at 03:21 PM ET
Sunsetunderground
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02/13/25 03:21 PM ET
My take is that ESPN will want it (eventually)
-- SMU Pony
Feb 13, 2025 at 12:21 AM ET
SMU Pony
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02/13/25 12:21 AM ET
That’s a plausible theory, who do you think goes where in your opinion?**
-- Stech
Feb 13, 2025 at 08:01 AM ET
Stech
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02/13/25 08:01 AM ET
The B12 has the geography, The PAC didn't, and the ACC doesn't. **
-- Big12 guy
Feb 13, 2025 at 07:26 AM ET
Big12 guy
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02/13/25 07:26 AM ET
If you mean nationwide reach, ACC could get there with a few B12 schools.
-- Stech
Feb 13, 2025 at 08:20 AM ET
Stech
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02/13/25 08:20 AM ET
I am saying "if" the Mag 7+1 leave for the P2, I could see the ACC trying
-- Stech
Feb 13, 2025 at 11:36 AM ET
Stech
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02/13/25 11:36 AM ET
If such an entity was to materialize, I have no doubt that they could get
-- Big12 guy
Feb 13, 2025 at 09:26 AM ET
Big12 guy
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02/13/25 09:26 AM ET
ESPN article says FSU & Clemson trying to cut penalties by 2031, that's key
-- Stech
Feb 13, 2025 at 12:03 PM ET
Stech
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02/13/25 12:03 PM ET
A football secession would be a pretty clean option.
-- mancunian
Feb 13, 2025 at 09:49 AM ET
mancunian
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02/13/25 09:49 AM ET
Not only that, but you could also consider different
-- Big12 guy
Feb 13, 2025 at 09:57 AM ET
Big12 guy
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02/13/25 09:57 AM ET
No, it's not that, it's more with expansion, the B12 can go West, or
-- Big12 guy
Feb 13, 2025 at 08:33 AM ET
Big12 guy
•
02/13/25 08:33 AM ET
Only reasons would be (1) if ESPN wants it or
-- SpeakToDamien
Feb 12, 2025 at 10:24 PM ET
SpeakToDamien
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02/12/25 10:24 PM ET