VT Baseball Pulls Off Biggest Win Of The Year Over NC State
Link:
From Dylan Tefft
16 Replies
3mo
What a “Bugs Bunny changeup is?
(In response to this post by David Cunningham)
3mo
(In response to this post by HokiesChemicals)
H
HokieNL
3mo
(In response to this post by David Cunningham)
3mo
learning the classics!
(In response to this post by David Cunningham)
3mo
They’ve beaten a top-5 team on the road, so why is beating NC State that big of a deal?
I don't ask this to be a jerk, it's a legit question as someone who doesn't follow college baseball at all. Thanks!
(In response to this post by David Cunningham)
3mo
in part due to RPI (No. 38) and SOS (No. 5), if it can win the next two series against teams it, on paper, can beat. It's more of the timeliness of it than anything.
(In response to this post by RVAHokie05)
3mo
are we really in contention for it? Lets say we win 2/3 and 2/3 in ACC and beat 4/5 of the non conf games. Which based on our season so far would be a pretty good finish...
30-23, 15-15 in ACC... does that really get you in? Not arguing, just asking...
CH
(In response to this post by David Cunningham)
Q
QCP
3mo
If we go 30-23 (15-15) which is a 56% overall win percentage and a 50% conference win percentage, here are some historical stats.
Since 2013, there has been 88 ACC teams with at least a 56% overall win percentage and 50%+ conference win percentage. Of those 88 teams, 86 of them (~98%) have made the NCAA tournament. The only two that didn’t make the tournament (Louisville in 2024, UVA in 2025) finished the year with RPI’s in the 60’s (Louisville 61, UVA 64). Given that our RPI is currently #34…if we were to finish 7-3 from here with a 4-2 conference record, our RPI would almost assuredly be in the 30’s and at worst case would be low 40’s.
For further context…since 2013, there has been 99 ACC teams finish with an RPI of 45 or better (end of season, not at tournament selection time). Of those 99 teams, 96 of them (~97%) made the tournament and the only three to not make it (Maryland in 2013, UNC in 2016, Louisville in 2023) had conference win percentages in the 33% to 43% range so in your scenario, we would be above that.
In my view, if we win our last two ACC series and win out or lose just one non-conference game, we are a lock for the NCAA tournament.
** Edited by QCP at 4/29/2026, 11:16:06 AM
(In response to this post by Curious Hokie)
3mo
In short, the ACC level of competition isn’t chopped liver…⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️⚾️
(In response to this post by Curious Hokie)
V
vtfin91
3mo
on the conference side, I would bet we are out....so 2/3, 1/3 doesn't cut it. Losing acc record, which has historically not gotten teams in. .500 in conference with very good SOS and rpi should be in. Tall order though.
(In response to this post by Curious Hokie)
N
nkhooch
3mo
yesterday's win. And Massey ratings have us with the #2 SOS. So, maybe we have a shot at a 3 seed in a region.
(In response to this post by Curious Hokie)
H
HokiePWC
3mo
(In response to this post by RVAHokie05)