Thanks to Chip's Massey's reference, I grabbed some additional stats
to look at this. In addition to ranking each team they also project the probability of winning each remaining game. And you can add them to get expected-value win totals. We are favored in every remaining game but not heavy favorites in every game. For example our probability of winning against these teams: Duke 59%, Clemson 58%, UVA 69%, GT 77%
Average ranking of teams played - 108
Average rankings of teams remaining - 79
Expected record for remaining games 28 - 7
Expected ACC record 18 - 6
Expected end of season record 44 - 9
Posted: 03/02/2026 at 12:00 PM ET
Thread Replies (11)
Thanks to Chip's Massey's reference, I grabbed some additional stats
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-- nkhooch
Mar 02, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
nkhooch
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03/02/26 12:00 PM ET
No offense, but I despise all
-- HOKIE SEAN
Mar 02, 2026 at 03:25 PM ET
HOKIE SEAN
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03/02/26 03:25 PM ET
No offense taken. Massey is not a TV or sports show. Just a VT grad who
-- nkhooch
Mar 02, 2026 at 03:56 PM ET
nkhooch
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03/02/26 03:56 PM ET
Great question. I am still nervous about our pitching. It's Emma and Bree
-- nkhooch
Mar 02, 2026 at 04:02 PM ET
nkhooch
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03/02/26 04:02 PM ET
I love this team but I would buy. Too many variables with injuries and the
-- VT One
Mar 02, 2026 at 01:54 PM ET
VT One
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03/02/26 01:54 PM ET
That's great to see all those favored games. Helpful to keep in mind math-
-- js93
Mar 02, 2026 at 12:22 PM ET
js93
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03/02/26 12:22 PM ET
You are correct. That is why, even though we are favored in every game, the
-- nkhooch
Mar 02, 2026 at 03:59 PM ET
nkhooch
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03/02/26 03:59 PM ET
Those %s are no good! We're going to get better as the season goes. :-)**
-- laphroaig
Mar 02, 2026 at 12:07 PM ET
laphroaig
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03/02/26 12:07 PM ET
And so will other teams. And to follow the Buy or Sell comment IB4Tech
-- nkhooch
Mar 02, 2026 at 04:07 PM ET
nkhooch
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03/02/26 04:07 PM ET
It was a joke! We have no idea if anybody is going to get better or worse.
-- laphroaig
Mar 02, 2026 at 04:46 PM ET
laphroaig
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03/02/26 04:46 PM ET
OK, my bad. I guess that's what the smiley face was for.**
-- nkhooch
Mar 02, 2026 at 08:40 PM ET
nkhooch
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03/02/26 08:40 PM ET