Analysis included realignment as well as NIL, transfers & Coastal chaos
I liked the article, but found it attacking too many issues. Overall, merging all of these issues makes it very hard to just look at the list without his commentary. That said, for teams with a plus ranking (like the Hokies), he indicated how many times the team would have made a 12 team playoff over the past 20 years as a measure. This ability to make the 12 team playoffs was the real focus of his grading.
The NIL/transfer aspects are skewing the ratings as much if not more than realignment in many cases. While I like some of the discussion on realignment impacts (such as USC and Oklahoma falling into a "be careful what you wish for" category), it is heavily influenced by NIL issues which are at their root financially (and realignment driven) for teams in new leagues, but largely unchanged if a team stayed in the same league.
It also gave plus rankings to many of the PAC schools that joined the Big 12 by comparing their current circumstances to the No PAC reality of 2024 that they were facing instead of a 2022 when the PAC was in place (which the fans and teams likely remember as a base case). I think the fans and athletic programs would not view that as a positive. That said, it is far better than the Oregon State/ Washington State 2024 reality that were easily identified as the biggest losers in the analysis.
In terms of the ACC, a lot focused on Coastal chaos being eliminated. Gave minuses to several ACC Coastal teams (including UVA and Duke) as having very little chance to place in the tops of the ACC under the new system (no sneaking in). Similarly, Louisville and NCSU were deemed as teams that were stuck behind FSU and Clemson that may have improved chances. Also note that the ACC was not the only conference with stronger/weaker division issues.
SMU had the top rating because they now have a chance (dividing by zero leaves an infinite better chance of making the playoff) and the fact that they were the NIL/booster champions behind Texas in the old SW conference (before the death penalty).
** Edited by mjfhokie at 8/6/2024, 7:02:29 PM
** Edited by mjfhokie at 8/6/2024, 7:04:16 PM
Thread Replies (21)
Winners and losers so far….
-- CrystalCoveHokie
Aug 06, 2024 at 01:32 PM ET
CrystalCoveHokie
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08/06/24 01:32 PM ET
Stewart Mandel, as always, proves he is a clueless dork with no idea what-
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Aug 07, 2024 at 11:02 AM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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08/07/24 11:02 AM ET
On3 already posting it's projection for the playoff field-
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Aug 08, 2024 at 12:36 PM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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08/08/24 12:36 PM ET
Analysis included realignment as well as NIL, transfers & Coastal chaos
◄
-- mjfhokie
Aug 06, 2024 at 07:00 PM ET
mjfhokie
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08/06/24 07:00 PM ET
I’m have no clue what he is trying to get at
-- HokieAl
Aug 06, 2024 at 02:26 PM ET
HokieAl
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08/06/24 02:26 PM ET
Man, they are going to be a problem down the road
-- VaTechHokiesACC
Aug 06, 2024 at 11:11 PM ET
VaTechHokiesACC
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08/06/24 11:11 PM ET
Yep. Surviving only on donations is not sustainable at all.
-- reestuart
Aug 07, 2024 at 12:38 PM ET
reestuart
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08/07/24 12:38 PM ET
Maybe not this year but they will be a player in time **
-- VaTechHokiesACC
Aug 07, 2024 at 01:25 AM ET
VaTechHokiesACC
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08/07/24 01:25 AM ET
Being Power 4 now gives SMU a big boost in terms of playoff opportunities
-- El Paso Hokie
Aug 06, 2024 at 05:55 PM ET
El Paso Hokie
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08/06/24 05:55 PM ET
Must not forget recruiting. It's tough to recruit as a G5. **
-- Big12 guy
Aug 06, 2024 at 06:14 PM ET
Big12 guy
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08/06/24 06:14 PM ET
Find out why you guys didn't take them
-- VaTechHokiesACC
Aug 06, 2024 at 11:13 PM ET
VaTechHokiesACC
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08/06/24 11:13 PM ET
SMU has never been an issue. Even when on equal footing.
-- reestuart
Aug 07, 2024 at 12:33 PM ET
reestuart
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08/07/24 12:33 PM ET
B12 also had three teams in Texas (+ one in DFW) and were adding a fourth.
-- Truthahn
Aug 07, 2024 at 11:49 AM ET
Truthahn
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08/07/24 11:49 AM ET
The Big 12 didn't take SMU-
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Aug 07, 2024 at 11:40 AM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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08/07/24 11:40 AM ET
It came down to TCU or SMU. TCU had the football
-- Big12 guy
Aug 07, 2024 at 07:10 AM ET
Big12 guy
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08/07/24 07:10 AM ET
Betting line has SMU (and VT) at 5.5 CONFERENCE wins
-- VT757to276
Aug 06, 2024 at 02:54 PM ET
VT757to276
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08/06/24 02:54 PM ET
Yeah, 4 seems generous to me.**
-- reestuart
Aug 06, 2024 at 05:20 PM ET
reestuart
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08/06/24 05:20 PM ET
appears you need subscription**
-- cvillehokie92
Aug 06, 2024 at 01:59 PM ET
cvillehokie92
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08/06/24 01:59 PM ET
I didn’t pay….Close out the form and scroll down….Here is the ACC chart…
-- CrystalCoveHokie
Aug 06, 2024 at 02:09 PM ET
CrystalCoveHokie
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08/06/24 02:09 PM ET
It's a very funny thing - all the schools in the red-
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Aug 07, 2024 at 11:31 AM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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08/07/24 11:31 AM ET