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VT_Consul
Joined: 01/30/2001
Posts: 7,111
Likes: 5,574
VT_Consul
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Agree. But people don't like probabilities.

Last weekends snow/ice totals fell well within probability bounds that were being forecast. But many people don't like having to consider that. They want an exact number, so they pick one (usually the highest number of the predicted snowfall percentages), and then complain when it's not exactly that number.
Posted: 01/30/2026 at 01:57 PM ET
(In response to this post by BB Hokie)

Thread Replies (25)

Full Thread →
First job to be replaced by AI should be meteorologists....
ModerateHokie • 01/30/26 11:32 AM ET
I keep recommending people watch Steve Martin's "LA Story"
EDGEMAN • 01/30/26 01:59 PM ET
I'll have a half double decaffeinated half-caf, with a twist of lemon.**
Coach McGuirk • 01/30/26 02:39 PM ET
Oh, I’ll have a twist of lemon.**
Spud • 01/30/26 04:32 PM ET
So many subtle jokes throughout the movie, such as the name of...
EDGEMAN • 01/30/26 03:42 PM ET
I dunno, the Mexican weather channels are still good.**
Chris ColemanAdmin • 01/30/26 01:32 PM ET
Does she know what a low pressure area is? No. Do I care? Also no.**
Spud • 01/30/26 02:35 PM ET
Ay caramba! I was always partial to Dagmar**
ModerateHokie • 01/30/26 01:37 PM ET
Even the hot meteorologists?**
Hokie Chris • 01/30/26 01:24 PM ET
or even the cute ones**
HokieMacDaddy • 01/30/26 01:59 PM ET
Just tell me it's most likely going to snow from 2 to 6 inches, not
MikeVT85 • 01/30/26 12:53 PM ET
You're following the wrong guys then...
BB Hokie • 01/30/26 12:50 PM ET
Agree. But people don't like probabilities. ◄
VT_Consul • 01/30/26 01:57 PM ET
No they didn't. They changed all week leading up the event just like the
ModerateHokie • 01/30/26 01:30 PM ET
I follow a local guy who is pretty good. **
reestuart • 01/30/26 01:15 PM ET
Yep, agry **
Brown Water • 01/30/26 01:05 PM ET
The models this year have been garbage too. **
Vtskier1 • 01/30/26 12:29 PM ET
Many say NOAA cuts and less daily data gathering have affected the accuracy
Stork • 01/30/26 01:45 PM ET
That doesn't explain all of the non-US models' performances. The Euro has
Vtskier1 • 01/30/26 02:15 PM ET
The data for those models comes from observations and weather balloons, ect
Stork • 01/30/26 02:37 PM ET
Are these the same people who tell us every year hurricane season is going
ModerateHokie • 01/30/26 01:48 PM ET
And we were supposed to be above average temperature-wise this winter**
Stork • 01/30/26 01:51 PM ET
whoops!!!**
reestuart • 01/30/26 04:43 PM ET
The GFS is always good for a laugh.**
Nortazhokie • 01/30/26 01:36 PM ET
Look out the window
TomTurkey • 01/30/26 12:11 PM ET
^^^^THIS^^^^**
section11hokie • 01/30/26 11:55 AM ET