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Joined: 03/06/2012
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MVIII

We won 4 of 6

I know the games were crazy but if the SMU half court doesn't fall we would have won 5 of 6 which is probably close to the odds there. It isn't just us, look at all of the other crazy games, we just happen to have more than most others because we are not inbounding the ball well and giving up layups, both seem very correctable to me.
Posted: 01/28/2026 at 12:44 PM ET
(In response to this post by soflahokie)

Thread Replies (25)

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Took a look at games in which we had an >80% chance before collapsing
soflahokie • 01/28/26 11:34 AM ET
What about Wake**
TboneParkerVT • 01/30/26 03:44 PM ET
It's not a stretch to say we should be 18-4**
YBYSAIAHokie • 01/28/26 10:29 PM ET
What are you using to determine an >80% chance? And you are definitely
AbsolutVT03 • 01/28/26 03:59 PM ET
ESPN game flow, has us at 78.8% against scar so not quite 80%**
soflahokie • 01/28/26 04:46 PM ET
When we are down, we always scrap hard. Leading, the team turtles. Odd. **
RhinoVT • 01/28/26 03:06 PM ET
I used to think 10 pt leads with a 60-90 seconds left was insurmountable
hoosnowahokie • 01/28/26 01:39 PM ET
I saw Tech beat Wake Forrest about 1968 (Before the 3 point play) down 4
B(ig) H(okie) • 01/28/26 10:36 PM ET
I remember Carolina beat Duke
crazylane • 01/28/26 08:42 PM ET
Down 8.....
2hhoop3 • 01/28/26 08:48 PM ET
Yep
crazylane • 01/28/26 08:51 PM ET
That Duke/MD game was 25 years ago last night
SteveInBaltimore • 01/28/26 04:53 PM ET
It should be a real anomaly but for VT it is just Tuesday or Saturday
Vippie1 • 01/28/26 04:44 PM ET
Nothing will top the Northern Iowa collapse in the tourney about a decade a**
Casey • 01/28/26 02:32 PM ET
It's different this year for sure, but the one constant is
Gobbler Guru • 01/28/26 01:24 PM ET
* I think press break is responsible for most of this debacle
vtfin91 • 01/28/26 03:19 PM ET
Exactly. There is only one way to make a team back off a press
Gobbler Guru • 01/28/26 03:37 PM ET
We won 4 of 6 ◄
MVIII • 01/28/26 12:44 PM ET
The odds on several of those were 95%+. 4 of 6 (67%) is terrible.
marcbvtgm • 01/28/26 01:14 PM ET
Lawal out some of those games too right?
GreenvilleVT • 01/28/26 12:48 PM ET
Here's a way to almost guarantee winning when up 8 -10 pts with one minute
Vippie1 • 01/28/26 12:34 PM ET
BINGO ! **
uber hokie • 01/29/26 01:59 PM ET
Agree. You can’t just stop playing defense.
NC Hoke • 01/28/26 02:15 PM ET
Yeah - what did we give up? 5 layups? w/ each possession taking <6-7 secs?**
GoldCoast • 01/28/26 12:59 PM ET
We were up 4 with the ball with :07 left against SMU.**
DDhokie31 • 01/28/26 11:57 AM ET
two timeouts I believe **
VermontDDS • 01/28/26 12:13 PM ET