All Hokie, All the Time. Period. Presented by First Bank & Trust Company

V
Joined: 10/07/1999
Posts: 16,010
Likes: 17,769
Founder

Here's a way to almost guarantee winning when up 8 -10 pts with one minute

Even if you miss some FTs and have a turnover or 2. Just play your normal aggressive defense (until maybe you get under 10 seconds). Even if the opposition gets red hot it almost always takes enough time off the clock to make overcoming the deficit extremely unlikely. But if you are going to play ultra-scared of fouling (and wrongly play the clock) then the other guys are going to score in about 4 seconds, put on their press, and then foul you in one second. That is theoretically enough time to score 24 points and you can lose by shooting 50% from the line without even factoring in turnovers (or you maybe in only the one and one bonus). VT has defensively been playing the last 60 seconds like it should probably be played the last 10 seconds tops.
Posted: 01/28/2026 at 12:34 PM ET
(In response to this post by soflahokie)

Thread Replies (25)

Full Thread →
Took a look at games in which we had an >80% chance before collapsing
soflahokie 01/28/26 11:34 AM ET
What about Wake**
TboneParkerVT 01/30/26 03:44 PM ET
It's not a stretch to say we should be 18-4**
YBYSAIAHokie 01/28/26 10:29 PM ET
What are you using to determine an >80% chance? And you are definitely
AbsolutVT03 01/28/26 03:59 PM ET
ESPN game flow, has us at 78.8% against scar so not quite 80%**
soflahokie 01/28/26 04:46 PM ET
When we are down, we always scrap hard. Leading, the team turtles. Odd. **
RhinoVT 01/28/26 03:06 PM ET
I used to think 10 pt leads with a 60-90 seconds left was insurmountable
hoosnowahokie 01/28/26 01:39 PM ET
I saw Tech beat Wake Forrest about 1968 (Before the 3 point play) down 4
B(ig) H(okie) 01/28/26 10:36 PM ET
I remember Carolina beat Duke
crazylane 01/28/26 08:42 PM ET
Down 8.....
2hhoop3 01/28/26 08:48 PM ET
Yep
crazylane 01/28/26 08:51 PM ET
That Duke/MD game was 25 years ago last night
SteveInBaltimore 01/28/26 04:53 PM ET
It should be a real anomaly but for VT it is just Tuesday or Saturday
Vippie1 01/28/26 04:44 PM ET
Nothing will top the Northern Iowa collapse in the tourney about a decade a**
Casey 01/28/26 02:32 PM ET
It's different this year for sure, but the one constant is
Gobbler Guru 01/28/26 01:24 PM ET
* I think press break is responsible for most of this debacle
vtfin91 01/28/26 03:19 PM ET
Exactly. There is only one way to make a team back off a press
Gobbler Guru 01/28/26 03:37 PM ET
We won 4 of 6
MVIII 01/28/26 12:44 PM ET
The odds on several of those were 95%+. 4 of 6 (67%) is terrible.
marcbvtgm 01/28/26 01:14 PM ET
Lawal out some of those games too right?
GreenvilleVT 01/28/26 12:48 PM ET
Here's a way to almost guarantee winning when up 8 -10 pts with one minute
Vippie1 01/28/26 12:34 PM ET
BINGO ! **
uber hokie 01/29/26 01:59 PM ET
Agree. You can’t just stop playing defense.
NC Hoke 01/28/26 02:15 PM ET
Yeah - what did we give up? 5 layups? w/ each possession taking <6-7 secs?**
GoldCoast 01/28/26 12:59 PM ET
We were up 4 with the ball with :07 left against SMU.**
DDhokie31 01/28/26 11:57 AM ET
two timeouts I believe **
VermontDDS 01/28/26 12:13 PM ET