Disappointing loss. Path to NCAAT just got narrowed. Using PEARatings...
Simulator, to definitely be in the tournament, we would have to win out including a sweep of Clemson which seems like a tall task. If you simulate with a 2-1 series win against Clemson, it shows us with a #45 rating and they are projecting the bubble to be #44 so I think there is still an outside shot at getting in going 2-1 against Clemson but certainly not a guarantee.
16 Replies
H
Hokie`79
2mo
realize that they’re trying to save arms for Clemson, but you still have to win these games or Clemson won’t matter.
(In response to this post by QCP)
2mo
Sorry, I never drank the recent Kool-aid that has been going around.
(In response to this post by QCP)
V
VT One
2mo
tournament team. JMO
(In response to this post by Jethro Tull)
2mo
after losing to FSU tomorrow and going 1-2 at VT.
I don't see the committee putting Clemson in at 10-20 (likely last in the ACC) and leaving VT out at 15-15, especially with a series win over CLEM.
(In response to this post by QCP)
2mo
It would likely be more beneficial to not play the game than to win it and based on how close we are to the bubble, a one or two spot different in ratings could be the difference.
(In response to this post by RJHokie)
H
HokieNL
2mo
I understand including SOS in calculations. But when you have that kind of situation possible, where you would hope for a rainout as opposed to playing, it is patently obvious that there is something very fundamentally wrong with the formula.
Now, if you had some kind of system where the predicted margin of victory (we'll call it, oh, 'The Spread') is not met, and you drop because you "didn't win by enough," that is a lot more understandable.
(In response to this post by QCP)
R
RJHokie
2mo
If we lose tomorrow I believe we are out unless we win the ACC Tournament which is very highly unlikely.
(In response to this post by QCP)
H
Hokie`79
2mo
(In response to this post by RJHokie)
2mo
Don't play the damn game if possible. Make up some phony excuse.
(In response to this post by RJHokie)
2mo
No chance of rain on Tues in Huntington, so not sure how we'd get out of it.
(In response to this post by HokiesACC2004)
2mo
(In response to this post by RJHokie)
R
RJHokie
2mo
So they could chat after the game….😁
(In response to this post by RRHokie90)