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Joined: 03/25/2021
Posts: 556
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This is the one ☝🏻

I am all for "situational hitting" but the numbers prove that a sac bunt has tended to be a net loss of total runs. That isn't to say that there aren't times that call for it (especially when you absolutely NEED 1 and only 1 run). Notice how ITB situation (0 out, runner on 2nd) improves the chances of scoring from .455 to .672 by pushing the runner to 3rd and taking the out and yet the expectation of total runs decreases. Bunting early, when you have an unknown scoring need simply doesn't net results UNLESS your players/team have a decent chance of bunting without incurring an out. That's actually pretty rare at the D1/P5 level. Usually takes a lefty with Brownie-like speed to be on-par with the chances of hitting successfully. ** Edited by Hokie4Life_89 at 4/26/2023, 3:53:07 PM
Posted: 04/26/2023 at 03:48 PM ET
(In response to this post by hokiehigh2000)

Thread Replies (45)

Full Thread β†’
Marshall is very good (38-7) but we need to prove we can beat good teams
hokiepro β€’ 04/25/23 10:35 PM ET
So today's game was a perfect example that validates my point that we
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/26/23 12:55 AM ET
Lol. You want your #3 hitter to BUNT in the first inning. Again, LOL.
King of Hokies β€’ 04/26/23 10:39 PM ET
The way we've been hitting lately, it's a pretty good strategy. Small ball
NC_Hokies β€’ 04/27/23 10:54 PM ET
Careful
Hokie4Life_89 β€’ 04/27/23 10:26 AM ET
Thank you for that!**
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/27/23 12:48 PM ET
Lol! You would rather have runners on first and second with one out,
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/26/23 11:02 PM ET
To quote Moneyball
RRHOKIE β€’ 04/26/23 01:20 PM ET
As a pitcher's Dad I was always happy to see the sac bunt.
MidloHokie β€’ 04/27/23 07:29 AM ET
If I had the opportunity to sacrifice an out for a run in each inning,
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/26/23 02:49 PM ET
Run Expectancy -- Bunting is Bad!! (Generally)
hokiehigh2000 β€’ 04/26/23 03:24 PM ET
If there's one thing I've learned here it's that some people don't care
AbsolutVT03 β€’ 04/26/23 05:02 PM ET
This is the one ☝🏻 β—„
Hokie4Life_89 β€’ 04/26/23 03:48 PM ET
Another must is runners on 1st & 2nd w no outs, also eliminates DP & Force.**
rtp_hokie67 β€’ 04/26/23 04:34 PM ET
... only if you want to score FEWER RUNS apparently
Hokie4Life_89 β€’ 04/26/23 06:39 PM ET
This is the definition of hindsight and playing "What if". We got runners
AbsolutVT03 β€’ 04/26/23 10:07 AM ET
Aren't you assuming our bunts work at a far greater than average rate?
VTCALS72 β€’ 04/26/23 08:43 AM ET
Surprised to hear the word bunt so many times from a guy who calls himself
laphroaig β€’ 04/26/23 05:35 AM ET
Lol, so you've resorted to making fun of my user name, rather than debating
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/26/23 02:11 PM ET
Can we say that bunting and therefore sacrificing an out scores less...
No_Limit_Hokie β€’ 04/27/23 12:02 AM ET
Yes, sacrificing may score less, as you are giving up a precious out, but
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/27/23 12:31 AM ET
Do you play Backgammon? Similar idea...
No_Limit_Hokie β€’ 04/27/23 01:04 AM ET
I did play a while back but haven't for years, but you are right,
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/27/23 09:36 AM ET
I did debate your point but after all that I'm done discussing the topic.**
laphroaig β€’ 04/26/23 03:57 PM ET
I would hardly call that a discussion but that's fine by me. You attacked
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/27/23 12:04 AM ET
Never attacked you. You took the stallion thing totally wrong.
laphroaig β€’ 04/27/23 04:49 AM ET
OK, I guess I took the stallion thing wrong, my bad. I didn't call you
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/27/23 10:14 AM ET
Well in all fairness, before all the injuries and disease, bunting
VTCALS72 β€’ 04/26/23 08:46 AM ET
But did they, and if they did, how many times in the situations described?**
laphroaig β€’ 04/26/23 08:57 AM ET
don't know my point was they could be more successful in bunting than most**
VTCALS72 β€’ 04/26/23 09:24 AM ET
The question is - do you take the bat out of the hands of a
laphroaig β€’ 04/26/23 09:33 AM ET
If that is the question, then your answer is correct. But that is not the
VTCALS72 β€’ 04/26/23 09:40 AM ET
You say "probably" - I say balderdash. Expect you could count them
laphroaig β€’ 04/26/23 09:45 AM ET
Did you know
VTCALS72 β€’ 04/26/23 09:50 AM ET
Had a hell of a drag bunt from the left side
TomTurkey β€’ 04/26/23 06:42 PM ET
Looks like he had 14 sac bunts in 9910 plate appearances over 18 years**
AbsolutVT03 β€’ 04/26/23 11:11 AM ET
Using MLB bunting/sac for Mantle, ignores MLB is Entertainment not Baseball
rtp_hokie67 β€’ 04/26/23 04:52 PM ET
"MLB is not baseball" is certainly an interesting argument. Not a
AbsolutVT03 β€’ 04/26/23 05:05 PM ET
What does that add?
VTCALS72 β€’ 04/26/23 12:16 PM ET
It adds actual numbers and context? The original post was talking about
AbsolutVT03 β€’ 04/26/23 01:18 PM ET
How many home runs, doubles and triples where he crushed the ball?
laphroaig β€’ 04/26/23 09:52 AM ET
Come on man
VTCALS72 β€’ 04/26/23 12:11 PM ET
You're right. I moved the goalpost somewhat. He did have sac bunts.
laphroaig β€’ 04/26/23 12:34 PM ET
Yes, I believe you are correct here with this post. I have no problem with
Italian Stallion β€’ 04/26/23 02:34 PM ET
I’m not sure Id have bunted Green that early (1st) as she’s a top HR hitter
hokiepro β€’ 04/26/23 08:00 AM ET
You agree IF it works. Huge assumption that it absolutely would work.
laphroaig β€’ 04/26/23 09:08 AM ET