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The statistical term re: the RPI would be “extremely underparameterized”

It is absolutely not grounded in any real statistics, it just averages a few things together that sound like they might be useful (record, opponents record, opponents opponents record). If you tried to present that as a legitimate model you would be laughed out of the room at every job I’ve ever had. Even a simple linear regression based would be more defensible. On your point about the strong conference schedule being what helps the SEC in the RPI rankings, you are exactly right and that’s why a more sophisticated model that can go beyond simple record comparison is needed. Any regression based analysis could better control for unequal scheduling. The NET in basketball is a good example of the NCAA realizing this and switching to a more robust, albeit still imperfect, metric. There is no excuse for this kind of antiquated “metric” having so much control over college softball/baseball. A volunteer graduate student could cook up something better in 30 minutes.
Posted: 05/11/2026 at 04:15 PM ET
(In response to this post by nkhooch)

Thread Replies (17)

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Professional statistician and occasional poster here.
HokieEngineer22 05/11/26 11:09 AM ET
As a metric person, I would probably just say the RPI has shortcomings
nkhooch 05/11/26 03:28 PM ET
The statistical term re: the RPI would be “extremely underparameterized”
HokieEngineer22 05/11/26 04:15 PM ET
Come on now. The win/loss record "sounds" useful?
nkhooch 05/11/26 04:57 PM ET
That’s not quite how building robust rating systems work.
HokieEngineer22 05/11/26 05:56 PM ET
Best post I have seen on the subject. There is absolutely no logical
Hokie_Forester 05/11/26 02:04 PM ET
Well, how wast Angela Tincher not on the USA Olympic team, yet…
TomA 05/11/26 12:37 PM ET
Can you name the three pitchers that were selected?
MidloHokie 05/11/26 03:46 PM ET
As Ronald Coase said “If You Torture the Data Long Enough, It Will Confess”
Va AandM 05/11/26 12:32 PM ET
Yep, pick the teams you want and then select and weight the stats to
BEST2VT 05/11/26 12:58 PM ET
Ah, Finagle’s Rule: draw curve then plot your points. Works every time **
Va AandM 05/11/26 01:06 PM ET
It feels the same every time this happens. The committees
baumerj 05/11/26 11:35 AM ET
Only comeback is to win. Go Hokies. **
skautdog 05/11/26 11:18 AM ET
You're "RPI is a joke" line, although probably true, was the death ....
hokietony 05/11/26 11:14 AM ET
Then they have contradicted themselves because they didn’t follow RPI…
HokieEngineer22 05/11/26 11:20 AM ET
Committee contradicts self. Story at 11! 😉**
HokieNL 05/11/26 04:27 PM ET
In general they did, only 1 non-top 16 RPI team is a host.**
hokietony 05/11/26 11:22 AM ET
That exception is sort of what I am trying to point out.
HokieEngineer22 05/11/26 11:32 AM ET