The statistical term re: the RPI would be “extremely underparameterized”
It is absolutely not grounded in any real statistics, it just averages a few things together that sound like they might be useful (record, opponents record, opponents opponents record). If you tried to present that as a legitimate model you would be laughed out of the room at every job I’ve ever had. Even a simple linear regression based would be more defensible.
On your point about the strong conference schedule being what helps the SEC in the RPI rankings, you are exactly right and that’s why a more sophisticated model that can go beyond simple record comparison is needed. Any regression based analysis could better control for unequal scheduling. The NET in basketball is a good example of the NCAA realizing this and switching to a more robust, albeit still imperfect, metric. There is no excuse for this kind of antiquated “metric” having so much control over college softball/baseball. A volunteer graduate student could cook up something better in 30 minutes.
Thread Replies (17)
Professional statistician and occasional poster here.
-- HokieEngineer22
May 11, 2026 at 11:09 AM ET
HokieEngineer22
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05/11/26 11:09 AM ET
As a metric person, I would probably just say the RPI has shortcomings
-- nkhooch
May 11, 2026 at 03:28 PM ET
nkhooch
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05/11/26 03:28 PM ET
The statistical term re: the RPI would be “extremely underparameterized”
◄
-- HokieEngineer22
May 11, 2026 at 04:15 PM ET
HokieEngineer22
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05/11/26 04:15 PM ET
Come on now. The win/loss record "sounds" useful?
-- nkhooch
May 11, 2026 at 04:57 PM ET
nkhooch
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05/11/26 04:57 PM ET
That’s not quite how building robust rating systems work.
-- HokieEngineer22
May 11, 2026 at 05:56 PM ET
HokieEngineer22
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05/11/26 05:56 PM ET
Best post I have seen on the subject. There is absolutely no logical
-- Hokie_Forester
May 11, 2026 at 02:04 PM ET
Hokie_Forester
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05/11/26 02:04 PM ET
Well, how wast Angela Tincher not on the USA Olympic team, yet…
-- TomA
May 11, 2026 at 12:37 PM ET
TomA
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05/11/26 12:37 PM ET
Can you name the three pitchers that were selected?
-- MidloHokie
May 11, 2026 at 03:46 PM ET
MidloHokie
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05/11/26 03:46 PM ET
As Ronald Coase said “If You Torture the Data Long Enough, It Will Confess”
-- Va AandM
May 11, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET
Va AandM
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05/11/26 12:32 PM ET
Yep, pick the teams you want and then select and weight the stats to
-- BEST2VT
May 11, 2026 at 12:58 PM ET
BEST2VT
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05/11/26 12:58 PM ET
Ah, Finagle’s Rule: draw curve then plot your points. Works every time **
-- Va AandM
May 11, 2026 at 01:06 PM ET
Va AandM
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05/11/26 01:06 PM ET
It feels the same every time this happens. The committees
-- baumerj
May 11, 2026 at 11:35 AM ET
baumerj
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05/11/26 11:35 AM ET
Only comeback is to win. Go Hokies. **
-- skautdog
May 11, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET
skautdog
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05/11/26 11:18 AM ET
You're "RPI is a joke" line, although probably true, was the death ....
-- hokietony
May 11, 2026 at 11:14 AM ET
hokietony
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05/11/26 11:14 AM ET
Then they have contradicted themselves because they didn’t follow RPI…
-- HokieEngineer22
May 11, 2026 at 11:20 AM ET
HokieEngineer22
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05/11/26 11:20 AM ET
Committee contradicts self. Story at 11! 😉**
-- HokieNL
May 11, 2026 at 04:27 PM ET
HokieNL
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05/11/26 04:27 PM ET
In general they did, only 1 non-top 16 RPI team is a host.**
-- hokietony
May 11, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
hokietony
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05/11/26 11:22 AM ET
That exception is sort of what I am trying to point out.
-- HokieEngineer22
May 11, 2026 at 11:32 AM ET
HokieEngineer22
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05/11/26 11:32 AM ET