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MrBayAreaHokie
Joined: 11/05/2005
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there are a lot of vids on social media

of kids with a $100K debt, payments starting in 6 months, and can't get a job to save their lives...it will only take one year of this to destroy the colleges. Why? I just asked Grok, "what is the estiamted number of students who have or will borrower money for undergrad degree in the US, for the classes of 2027, 2028, 2029 and 2030? " It said,"Roughly 1.1–1.5 million students per graduating class (2027–2030) are estimated to borrow for their undergraduate degree" Note that was per graduating class so let's call it 5million in the undergrad system now. Grok then said, "If comparing 5M unique borrowers to total annual enrollment: ~30% (5M / ~16.5M). This treats the borrowers as a share of a typical yearly snapshot of all undergrads." So we are looking at 30% of people start to seriously question the ROI of this. I think the schools are in deep deep doodoo. They have been growing expenses at X% per year, where X is large and now they have to deal with a large drop(my estimate) in enrollment. They are gonna be hurtin.
Posted: 06/14/2026 at 10:44 PM ET
(In response to this post by Maroon Baboon)

Thread Replies (14)

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anyone reading the syracuse stuff on X?
MrBayAreaHokie 06/14/26 06:45 PM ET
Elementary schools in Orange County in Orlando are starting to close**
OrlandoHokie 06/15/26 11:22 AM ET
I’m wondering if the current/future pain is more on the private school side
HokieAl 06/15/26 08:35 AM ET
Yes, but I think it will also come for the public schools soon...
SMU Pony 06/15/26 07:59 PM ET
Less well known private colleges in remote locations will face difficulties
RandomAsianGuy 06/15/26 07:55 PM ET
the "enrollment apocalypse" is starting to hit the name schools now.
Maroon Baboon 06/14/26 10:12 PM ET
The real disgrace is the colleges have
mancunian 06/15/26 01:06 PM ET
The Ivy schools and some others have a big enough endowment to keep the
Maroon Baboon 06/15/26 02:45 PM ET
You make a valid point.....
2hhoop3 06/15/26 01:56 PM ET
For most people, an undergrad degree for ~$100k in debt just isn't-
Baltimore_Hokie 06/15/26 10:51 AM ET
I'd argue that the only reason the "pyramid schemes" succeed is that...
MP4VT2004 06/15/26 05:55 PM ET
there are a lot of vids on social media
MrBayAreaHokie 06/14/26 10:44 PM ET
Westminster in Salt Lake is on the brink of collapse apparently
Roanokie 06/15/26 08:09 AM ET
Mike has been doing great work with respect to encouraging trade careers.**
MP4VT2004 06/17/26 03:38 PM ET
Will be seeing a lot more of this at other schools IMO**
SMU Pony 06/14/26 09:22 PM ET