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I'm starting to suspect more and more that the next seismic shift will be-

in 2030-2031, when the Big 12's media rights deal is set to expire. Call me crazy, but here's what I think is going to happen - The Big 10 are already over bloated with a significant amount of what isn't exactly blockbuster content (UCLA v. Rutgers, anyone? How about a heaping helping of Maryland v. Illinois?) 3/4 of the SEC is going to be pissed off every year because those programs think they're above losing even one game, much less 3, 4, or 5 games. Losing 4 or more games more than once every decade or so is enough to get you fired at a lot of SEC programs. Where I'm going with this is, assuming the conference paradigm survives, and we have no reason to believe it won't, that those conferences are not going to expand, because they're already too big. The ACC's media rights buyout amount will be reasonable by 2030, and there will be nothing holding Big 12 programs to account, since their deal will be expiring and they will all be required to sign onto a new one. And, since nobody else is getting into the P2 country club, I honestly think at this point that the biggest brands from the ACC are going to consolidate with the biggest brands from the Big 12 to form the third power football conference, and cut out all the schools that don't bring the eyeballs. The payouts still probably won't be 1:1 with P2 money, but programs can get more than what they're getting now if they just completely cut out all the football programs that are basically being subsidized, like Kansas, Wake Forest, Houston, Boston College, Cincinnati, and SMU. I think we're ultimately going to end up with something entirely football-centric that looks like this: Utah FSU TCU Clemson Texas Tech Miami Oklahoma State UNC Arizona State VT Iowa State NCSU Colorado Louisville WVU GT It will likely have a catchy name that avoids referencing a specific part of the country, and pushes the football-focused nature of the conference, like "Gridiron Elite" or something like that. And, instead of "It just means more," and "Then, now, and always," it will be branded with a mantra like, "WHERE FOOTBALL LIVES," or, "BUILT FOR TITLES." I know it sounds corny, but it only sounds corny because we're used to the old ways. If they go this route, I have zero doubt that the conference will be called something you'd call a kid's travel ball team and the branding will be EXTREMELY IN YOUR FACE.
Posted: 04/09/2026 at 10:31 AM ET
(In response to this post by ancient alien 2018)

Thread Replies (42)

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IMO, depending on ACC media money to fund your athletic department is a
manassashoo 04/06/26 10:36 AM ET
ol Swafford, the Douche that keeps giving til 2036. **
VT Pez4Life 04/08/26 02:19 PM ET
He waited too late but all the schools voted yea on the deal**
ancient alien 2018 04/08/26 10:34 PM ET
Groupthink
CMU Hokie 04/15/26 08:14 PM ET
I agree, athletic depts need to change
1947Sunbowl 04/07/26 11:46 AM ET
Not sure if everyone saw my money chart post from last week
HokieAl 04/06/26 04:46 PM ET
There's zero ability to be competitive when Vanderbilt and Miss. State-
Baltimore_Hokie 04/06/26 10:56 AM ET
True, but you have to put in the effort to secure independent funding or
manassashoo 04/06/26 12:23 PM ET
There's that magic word that the HC lack,...effort.**
saret 04/08/26 11:49 AM ET
The bottom line is that it makes it impossible for ACC teams to "outbid"-
Baltimore_Hokie 04/06/26 01:28 PM ET
VT needs to "sweet-talk" Bill, Elon or Jeff...or all three!**
EDGEMAN 04/07/26 10:55 AM ET
Many folks dont realize VT DOES have some very succesful business people
1947Sunbowl 04/13/26 11:08 AM ET
I agree they have ....
2hhoop3 04/06/26 11:11 AM ET
That's how much more they each get paid on their media deal vs. ACC teams.
Baltimore_Hokie 04/06/26 01:06 PM ET
According to tax returns and......
2hhoop3 04/06/26 01:16 PM ET
I've seen different numbers, but does it matter? 20 million? 30 million?
Baltimore_Hokie 04/06/26 01:45 PM ET
Agree with that.....
2hhoop3 04/06/26 01:56 PM ET
I do think there will be a "crisis" situation involving the ACC sometime-
Baltimore_Hokie 04/06/26 02:02 PM ET
Agree. Big ? How, and Who makes the decision to tell 6-7ACC teams to go
ancient alien 2018 04/08/26 10:18 PM ET
I'm starting to suspect more and more that the next seismic shift will be-
Baltimore_Hokie 04/09/26 10:31 AM ET
I’d be cool with this scenario. Call it the Big Country Conference.
mancunian 04/12/26 08:17 PM ET
I think there will be a shift as well, but i have a different take.
Big12 guy 04/09/26 11:19 AM ET
What if ratings is an outdated way of negotiating future media contracts
VTHokie2000 04/09/26 11:53 AM ET
You have a REALLY good point about the gambling
Big12 guy 04/09/26 12:00 PM ET
In Virginia, there are like 20 sports gambling apps available.
Baltimore_Hokie 04/09/26 12:14 PM ET
Why I think the so call bubble may not pop for college athletics because
VTHokie2000 04/09/26 12:17 PM ET
Each network either has their own app or they are affiliated with an
VTHokie2000 04/09/26 12:08 PM ET
My only problem with that is basketball is such a small piece of the pie.
Baltimore_Hokie 04/09/26 11:30 AM ET
The money will land where it does, and it
Big12 guy 04/09/26 11:49 AM ET
Re: forming a new conference - The Big East did it in the late 70's.
Baltimore_Hokie 04/09/26 12:09 PM ET
The BE could have......
2hhoop3 04/09/26 01:08 PM ET
I couldn't agree with you more on all points.**
Baltimore_Hokie 04/09/26 01:09 PM ET
i think it's time to separate football from
Big12 guy 04/09/26 12:14 PM ET
The conference paradigm will never die while the SEC and Big 10 are-
Baltimore_Hokie 04/09/26 12:16 PM ET
Like you stated, the time
Big12 guy 04/09/26 12:26 PM ET
FWIW there are examples of football only conferences at the DI level, so it
VTHokie2000 04/09/26 12:05 PM ET
How much gambling activity did the UCLA vs. Rutgers game generate for all
VTHokie2000 04/09/26 10:37 AM ET
The vast majority of gambling activity is by casuals/squares, and it-
Baltimore_Hokie 04/09/26 10:49 AM ET
I never said there was a connection between sports gambling and viewership
VTHokie2000 04/09/26 11:18 AM ET
I think the next.......
2hhoop3 04/06/26 02:09 PM ET
My prediction is that fan engagement is going to start waning at some point
MP4VT2004 04/07/26 08:30 PM ET
Nothing Disney/FOX/etc. does is for the benefit of actual CFB fans.
Baltimore_Hokie 04/08/26 11:32 AM ET
ESPN was a good......
2hhoop3 04/08/26 11:45 AM ET