Here's where I think our disconnect on this is-
you're saying the SEC and Big 10 want to get into "markets," and, in using that term, you clearly mean defined geographic areas like states or major metros. I think that's an incorrect way to think about it if you want to understand how the people writing the media rights checks will be analyzing the books going forward.
My position - when it comes to conference realignment, to the extent the SEC and Big 10 (and really, we mean Disney/FOX/CBS/Netflix/Apple/etc. here) want to get into this or that "market," the term "market" must now be thought of as "college football program that people will turn on and leave on for the entire game." That's what they'll be looking for now when determining media rights value.
The idea of a major metro or statewide TV "market" having anything to do with conference realignment is a relic of a time where nationwide access to literally any FBS football program's game broadcasts was not a possibility. Example: because of the legacy linear cable business model and the myriad contractual issues that came with it, in 2003, it was impossible for me to watch a September Oregon State vs. San Jose State football game live on TV in Virginia, even if I was willing to pay a premium to do so. In 2026, I can easily pay to access every single Oregon State and San Jose State football broadcast all season long, in HD. The rub going forward when it comes to media rights valuations, and, by extension, conference realignment, will be, "how much will people pay to access this or that program's football content," and the media conglomerates are going to be able to utilize granular data to make that decision.
I suppose we don't have to agree, but I hope that clears up my position.
** Edited by Baltimore_Hokie at 7/28/2026, 9:46:28 AM
Thread Replies (18)
This youtube makes a lot of sense to me...
-- TDVick
Jul 26, 2026 at 04:51 AM ET
TDVick
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07/26/26 04:51 AM ET
2 things I don't understand about the B1G's approach to Southern expansion
-- Maroon Baboon
Jul 26, 2026 at 11:51 PM ET
Maroon Baboon
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07/26/26 11:51 PM ET
My opinion, it is the old BC thing in ACC expansion
-- VTCALS72
Jul 27, 2026 at 07:54 AM ET
VTCALS72
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07/27/26 07:54 AM ET
I am once again begging folks to understand that TV markets are no longer-
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Jul 27, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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07/27/26 11:47 AM ET
I agree with you the model is changing to something new.
-- VTHokie2000
Jul 28, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
VTHokie2000
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07/28/26 12:18 PM ET
True - I'm sure the "cable channels via streaming" services like Hulu and-
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Jul 28, 2026 at 12:51 PM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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07/28/26 12:51 PM ET
FWIW blackouts still exist in the NHL. If Monumental Sports has the
-- VTHokie2000
Jul 28, 2026 at 01:31 PM ET
VTHokie2000
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07/28/26 01:31 PM ET
My inclination is that linear cable and "channels" will just die off.
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Jul 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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07/28/26 03:00 PM ET
There are no more "markets" in the sense that you're selling a bundle of-
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Jul 27, 2026 at 05:05 PM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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07/27/26 05:05 PM ET
All that still speaks to a process of bringing your product to market
-- VTCALS72
Jul 27, 2026 at 06:04 PM ET
VTCALS72
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07/27/26 06:04 PM ET
Here's where I think our disconnect on this is-
◄
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Jul 28, 2026 at 09:45 AM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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07/28/26 09:45 AM ET
Good post. Fully agree with the general theme of your 2nd paragraph
-- VTCALS72
Jul 29, 2026 at 08:27 AM ET
VTCALS72
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07/29/26 08:27 AM ET
I always thought it a house of cards to build your business model on
-- Maroon Baboon
Jul 27, 2026 at 01:56 PM ET
Maroon Baboon
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07/27/26 01:56 PM ET
Duke B-ball with UNC is huge money(maybe)**
-- MrFantastic!
Jul 28, 2026 at 06:58 AM ET
MrFantastic!
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07/28/26 06:58 AM ET
Agree with everything in your post 100%.
-- Baltimore_Hokie
Jul 27, 2026 at 02:13 PM ET
Baltimore_Hokie
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07/27/26 02:13 PM ET
I think the numbers changed signficantly once the SEC landed Texas and OU
-- TDVick
Jul 27, 2026 at 05:53 AM ET
TDVick
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07/27/26 05:53 AM ET
Interesting take, here’ a clickable link for others to make it easier.
-- Stech
Jul 26, 2026 at 07:44 PM ET
Stech
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07/26/26 07:44 PM ET