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I don't know, even by your math, they are about $5M behind the current

ACC payout. Unless the ACCN comes up with more money than projected, the media contracts are set, and the amounts are publicly available. We should find out somewhere in May what the ACC payouts are. If FSU, Clemson, UNC, and Miami are going to make closer numbers to the P2, the money comes from the other ACC membership. How much less do you think VT will get compared to ast year with the 5 year moving average? Not trying to dis VT, but again, the money gets moved from the lower performing schools to the higher performing schools based on metrics I still don't understand. 25% of that money that goes the the performers is basketball, so Duke and UNC should be OK. Not sure about BC and others though. FSU filed a suite because UCF was making close to the same media money has they were. Remember, we are talking media money, but we can go to total distributions as well. So tell me, does the 5 year rolling average work for any school that you guys might poach from the B12? Anyone - tell me where I'm wrong on this. I just do not see the math of any B12 school going to the ACC around 2030. However, if the distribution calculations leave a Louisville or Pitt behind, and they are not in the top 1/2 of the uneven distributions, will they stay in the ACC? UCF will indeed make more money than the bottom 1/2 of the ACC, I just don't see how the top half makes enough money to stay in the conference otherwise.
Posted: 04/27/2026 at 06:15 PM ET
(In response to this post by RandomAsianGuy)

Thread Replies (24)

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Reading all the information below
MrFantastic! 04/27/26 07:07 AM ET
My prediction
RandomAsianGuy 04/27/26 01:53 PM ET
Wouldn't UNC be gone? In this scenario**
MrFantastic! 04/28/26 06:50 AM ET
Yes UNC is likely to leave.
RandomAsianGuy 04/28/26 01:03 PM ET
i disagree for future
MrFantastic! 04/28/26 01:12 PM ET
You might be right. I just don't think they will be a "leader"
RandomAsianGuy 04/28/26 08:44 PM ET
So, you think the B12 contract just expires then? I suppose
Big12 guy 04/27/26 02:24 PM ET
The ACC didn't need to raid the B12
RandomAsianGuy 04/27/26 05:39 PM ET
I don't know, even by your math, they are about $5M behind the current
Big12 guy 04/27/26 06:15 PM ET
$5 million?
RandomAsianGuy 04/27/26 06:37 PM ET
With great respect, you still have the numbers
Big12 guy 04/27/26 07:39 PM ET
That's not my post.
RandomAsianGuy 04/27/26 08:34 PM ET
The old contract was around $25M. The B12 actually
Big12 guy 04/27/26 08:50 PM ET
Yormark did well but that raise is basically an extension of old contract
RandomAsianGuy 04/27/26 10:04 PM ET
Separating basketball rights will not be lucrative
SMU Pony 04/27/26 09:06 PM ET
Agreed. It may or may not bring in more money, but
Big12 guy 04/27/26 09:12 PM ET
I don't think it's that simple
SMU Pony 04/28/26 06:39 PM ET
That is why VT is ramping up immediately with funding
1947Sunbowl 04/27/26 11:56 AM ET
I am not understanding the draw of the P2
VT ChemE 1986 04/27/26 10:08 PM ET
If no one leaves the ACC, you're probably correct.
wwhokie1 04/28/26 02:08 PM ET
IMO VT has a chance. Perhaps a slim chance but we have a shot.
RandomAsianGuy 04/27/26 01:35 PM ET
If UConn considers basketball to be its bread and butter, and-
Baltimore_Hokie 04/27/26 11:52 AM ET
Football centric merger between
mancunian 04/27/26 03:00 PM ET
That's a good post, but I think the days of conferences as we
Big12 guy 04/27/26 12:32 PM ET
I honestly don't think you're too far off, if at all, re: the future of CFB**
Baltimore_Hokie 04/27/26 03:10 PM ET