looking at it in a probabilistic sense. I agree that if we win 21 games, that will do it. But, the odds of winning your final 4 games is much lower than the odds of winning 4 of your last 6 or now 4 of your last 5. And your best odds of winning any game are against teams that are considered worse than you. We just lost to a team we were favored against. We have two more of those, but 3 games against teams where we will be heavy underdogs. Even if we had a 50/50 chance in each of the final 4 games, the odds of us winning all 4 are 6.25%. When we lost to FSU the odds of us winning 4 more games took a significant hit because the path to 21 wins just got a lot harder, I think next to impossible. So, I think the FSU loss essentially ended our chances to get 21 wins. ** Edited by nkhooch at 2/16/2026, 1:44:47 AM ** Edited by nkhooch at 2/16/2026, 2:05:52 PM