teams. There have been 61 ACC teams above .500 in ACC play since 2013 (excluding 2020) and 58 of them (95%) have made the tournament and just 3 (5%) didn't make the tournament. 2014 Duke (16-14 conf, 33-25 overall, #84 RPI) 2017 Miami (16-13 conf, 31-27 overall, #43 RPI) 2018 Miami (16-13 conf, 28-26 overall, #65 RPI) Going a step further, there have been 16 teams since 2013 (excluding 2020) that have finished exactly .500 in ACC play and 12 of them (75%) have made the NCAA Tournament while 4 (25%) have not. In all of the cases that missed, their RPI's were in the 56 to 81 range. And finally, there have been 10 ACC teams that have finished with a 46% to 49% win percent in ACC play since 2013 (excluding 2020). Of those teams, 5 (50%) made the tournament and 5 (50%) did not. Of the teams that made it, 4 of 5 had a top 30 RPI and the lowest RPI was 36. Of the teams that didn't make it, 4 of 5 had RPI's in the 48-56 range and the best RPI was 33. Basically 4 ACC wins will have us be a near lock. 3 ACC wins will still give us a good shot but will need to do well with our non-conference games and keep our RPI in the 40 range. 2 ACC wins will be bad but could have an outside shot if we win out in our non-conference games and somehow keep our RPI in the top 40 range.