Based on history, I would say ~75% chance. Data inside...
In the six non-Covid years since 2018, there have been 13 ACC teams that finished exactly .500 in conference. 10 of those teams ended up going to the NCCA tournament with 3 missing the tournament. All of the 10 teams that made it had a post-season RPI of 46 or better while all three of the teams that missed had an RPI of 56 or worse. Below are the details of the teams with their post-season RPI noted. I also highlighted how many teams under .500 got into the tournament.
As of right now, our real-time RPI per Warren Nolan is #39. Also, one new thing that will be introduced to the selection committee is them being provided a KPI ranking which we are ranked #25 in through yesterday's games.
So based on our current rankings and assuming we finish .500 which likely means series wins against two of UNC, Duke, UVA and Pitt, I think our profile would more closely resemble teams that ended up making the tournament.
2024: 2 teams, both in (Wake 14, GT 45). 0 teams in below .500.
2023: 2 teams, 1 in (UNC 33), 1 out (ND 56). 1 team in below .500 (NC St 23).
2022: 4 teams, 3 in (FSU 29, UNC 4, GT 21), 1 out (Pitt 66). 0 teams in below .500.
2021: 3 teams, 2 in (UNC 46, UVA 28), 1 out (Louis 70). 1 team in below .500 (Duke 21).
2019: 2 teams, both in (Clem 38, Duke 44). 0 teams in below .500.
2018: 0 teams at .500. 0 teams in below .500.
Thread Replies (10)
12 conference games left go 6 and 6 that put us at 15 and 15 for the year
-- StautonHokie
Apr 13, 2025 at 04:03 PM ET
StautonHokie
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04/13/25 04:03 PM ET
funny 15-15 ok here not ok in football
-- 1947Sunbowl
Apr 15, 2025 at 08:37 AM ET
1947Sunbowl
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04/15/25 08:37 AM ET
Gets you the the NCAAs
-- HokiesACC2004
Apr 16, 2025 at 05:22 AM ET
HokiesACC2004
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04/16/25 05:22 AM ET
Agree with this - pitching was very good. Crowl was electric, which is
-- vtfin91
Apr 13, 2025 at 10:23 PM ET
vtfin91
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04/13/25 10:23 PM ET
Good write up **
-- VaTechHokiesACC
Apr 14, 2025 at 01:06 AM ET
VaTechHokiesACC
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04/14/25 01:06 AM ET
Additional point on the lineup - 4 of our 1st 5 hitters in our opening
-- vtfin91
Apr 14, 2025 at 12:51 PM ET
vtfin91
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04/14/25 12:51 PM ET
I'm most disappointed in McCann. I was hoping he would make a jump...
-- QCP
Apr 14, 2025 at 10:08 PM ET
QCP
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04/14/25 10:08 PM ET
Yeah, I had McCann as my most improved player and to have a breakout year.**
-- Nortazhokie
Apr 14, 2025 at 10:35 PM ET
Nortazhokie
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04/14/25 10:35 PM ET
Based on history, I would say ~75% chance. Data inside...
◄
-- QCP
Apr 13, 2025 at 05:34 PM ET
QCP
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04/13/25 05:34 PM ET
I try not to wade into the hypotheticals too much, but 15-15 with 5 series
-- VTScoop
Apr 13, 2025 at 05:30 PM ET
VTScoop
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04/13/25 05:30 PM ET