Click bait is throwing smoke that the B12
is looking hard at USF. has to do with the connections of their private equity deal and a travel partner for UCF. They are saying that if the ACC implodes, that some brands like Pitt may not be as valuable as programs that are currently investing the money. USF's athletic budget has going from the upper $50M's to just over $100M in two years, and the new stadium they are building is a plus.
Looking at Indiana, BYU, TT, Utah, and others that are investing real dollars into their programs will be the programs of the future. VT has been mentioned highly, not because of their past, but because of their investments, and the recent coach hire as programs of the future, not the past. it's being floated that the ones investing now, will be the programs of the future.
14 Replies
6mo
They could spend all the money in the world, but they're still both located in a big metro area with a pro football team. This, in and of itself, is not a guaranteed killer of a football program; USC and Miami are the big exceptions that come to mind. But they're exceptions to the rule, and if you fit in that category, your margin for error is basically zero. If you're a college football program in a major metro with an NFL franchise, you have to win and win big, or you're a non-factor when it comes to interest. And, let's be honest here - Miami has experienced great success this year in the CFP, but neither they nor USC have been a major factor on the national stage in 20+ years otherwise. The last time USC was a national power, LA didn't have an NFL franchise; now they have two - I think the corresponding impact on USC's ability to drive interest speaks for itself.
(In response to this post by Big12 guy)
6mo
if USF made a run in the playoffs a couple of times, it still would not be a major draw for the nations eyeballs during the regular season. "Big market" is a nothing burger anymore, and as far as media money is concerned, I don't see how they bring value.
All that being said, UCF is out there on an island, and a travel partner could save millions for the schools traveling there for the non revs. In addition, I think we can all agree that the South East (Florida) and Texas have emerged as the best and deepest recruiting states. The question for the B12 is do they want to be in Florida, or don't they? There is very little, if any chance that Miami or FSU end up in the B12. Then you have the prospect of FSU and Miami going to the P2. USF is there for the taking, and the ACC have passed on them. No differently than UCF, Cincy, or WVU - or UConn for that matter.
I'm way OK with UCF and Cincy in our conference even though they are not "brands" or bring in huge amounts of media money. They are a relatively close school to WVU, and since VT wasn't/isn't available, it seems to fit. (Pitt would be a better example for WVU)
** Edited by Big12 guy at 1/14/2026, 11:07:19 AM
(In response to this post by Baltimore_Hokie)
6mo
list of current G5's to panic backfill with here in a bout 3-4 years. Based upon the actions taken by the thumb suckers running the ACC in recent memory, I have no doubt they'd add them right now if they thought they could get away with it, but they can't. The conference is already absurdly too big and 85+% of the programs already here are complete dead weight when considering the ability to drive interest and football viewership.
(In response to this post by Big12 guy)
6mo
end up somewhere around 10th on the ACC's Expansion Wish List for "academic reasons." *snicker*
ACC's Expansion Wish List
1. University of Oxford
2. University of Cambridge
3. Imperial College London
4. ETH Zurich
5. University of Toronto
6. University College London
7. University of Tokyo
8. Technical University of Munich
9. University of Edinburgh
10a. McGill University
10b. USF
(In response to this post by Baltimore_Hokie)
6mo
(In response to this post by Big12 guy)
6mo
(aka what Yanks calls soccer) and American football.
(In response to this post by Baltimore_Hokie)
6mo
If the ACC wants to challenge the Ivy League's King of the Academic Hill crown, then pulling off that major coupe would do it. Plus, it may convince schools like Cal, UVA and VT from leaving the ACC if they don't end up with a P2 home.
(In response to this post by Big12 guy)
6mo
Pitt has a proud football history and might get left in the dust. I’m not a Pitt fan but this will sadden me to see them left behind.
Miami is the same thing but will be OK because they become relevant every 20 years. They don’t need fans, they just have money.
(In response to this post by Big12 guy)
6mo
a few of the articles or podcasts is that moving forward, the "brands" of the past is not enough to carry schools into the future without the underlying money needed for the athletic budget, but more importantly, the NIL money or the ability to pay the top players.
Things seem to be evolving, but the top "brands" continue to bring in the eyeballs, and it doesn't seem to matter how they perform on the field. Remarkably for example, Nebraska continues to bring in ratings, fans, selling merchandise, money, and they have done a thing since they were added to the BIG.
If FSU and or Miami end up in the P2, USF becomes indispensable for the Florida market. While there are many spouting off that there are better schools (brands) to add assuming the ACC implodes, I don't think there are any guarantees that the ACC won't figure things out, even if they lose some top schools.
TT, Utah, and Kansas have all recently announced extreme capital infusion into their programs in the B12. I watch with interest on which schools in the B12 and ACC do the same. So far, VT is the only non blue blood that have made long term institutional changes in their funding model. Texas schools may all be able to do it with "oil" money, and Utah went the PE rout. Schools like K-State, Iowa State, WVU, Cincy, and others are scrambling to find the kind of money it will take to compete. USF seems to be finding the money somewhere, and based on their history, it's pretty surprising to me anyway.
(In response to this post by Calamitous)
6mo
Great, mediocre or bad, they always show up.
(In response to this post by Big12 guy)
6mo
(In response to this post by Big12 guy)
6mo
USF doesn’t surprise me at all. That seems like an easy choice.
Overall we will have to wait until Feb/Mar to get new actual financial numbers from the schools on their 2024 spending. Everything that gets shown in the news is lagging by a year if it is formal public filing documents. Or it is informal estimates that can’t be fully trusted.
(In response to this post by Big12 guy)
S
Stech
6mo
(In response to this post by HokieAl)