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MrBayAreaHokie MrBayAreaHokie OP
Nov 22, 2025 at 02:41 PM ET
Anyone seen this marble ranking system?
I like it, as you take more marbles for a win against a good team, and crappy teams have less marbles to take, especially as the season progresses

6 Replies

HokieAl HokieAl
8mo
I like it a lot. The main thing people would complain about
is where you see BYU and TT ranked ahead of multiple SEC and BIG teams. And it's because this model doesn't have any bias. Every team starts with the same number (100) of marbles. Compared to reality where the P2 start with 150 marbles, and the blue bloods within the P2 start with 200 marbles. But I really like the simplicity of the model and how it is entirely driven by the on field results.
reestuart reestuart
8mo
Top 10 in CFP are all very close to this. Here are the biggest variances.
I'm only listing the ones ranked 4 spots higher or lower than the marbles. Illinois is the only Big Ten getting a real boost in CFP. Michigan is getting penalized, surprisingly enough. All SEC schools are ranked higher in CFP than in marbles. Some only by a one ranking, but every single one of them in the top 25. ACC is getting a boost w/Miami (back baby), but UVA is ranked much lower in CFP. GT is close. Big XII is all over the place. BYU 7 spots lower in CFP Miami 4 spots higher in CFP Texas 4 spots higher in CFP Michigan 5 spots lower in CFP UVA 5 spots lower in CFP Tennessee 12 spots higher in CFP Illinois 12 spots higher in CFP Mizzou 28 spots higher in CFP!!! Houston 7 spots higher in CFP Tulane 4 spots lower in CFP AZ State 6 spots lower in CFP ** Edited by reestuart at 11/25/2025, 6:06:53 PM
HokieAl HokieAl
8mo
Nice bias discovery. The data doesn’t lie
reestuart reestuart
8mo
Pretty surprising. It looks like the SEC is still getting much more benefit
of the doubt than any other conference. We’ve all said it for years. According to this it is true. The other conferences are all close. Really cool system, IMO.
reestuart reestuart
8mo
Exact same 12 teams as the CFP. Only huge difference is BYU's rank. 11 vs 4
T
Truthahn
8mo
I'd love to see some data about how well this predicts outcomes.
Also, for the AP, CFP, and the other computer models. It would be nice to have some data backing up our suspicions of SEC, B10 and ND bias.