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HokieAl
Joined: 10/07/1999
Posts: 19,964
Likes: 12,677
HokieAl
Founder

Feels like the Price is Right. I'll say $201M

Just kidding. My actual rough back of napkin guess is existing annual revenue times 12 years left on GOR ($35Mx12=$420M) plus an exit fee ($130M). Gets me to $550M cost if they did it today with no negotiated discounts or reductions. Seems close to what FSU had as a starting point for discussions. I'm sure the actual numbers will be far more nuanced than these high level generalizations. When it's all over I'd guess something 20% less than this plus subtracting a year or two from the payment calculation. Gets things down to around $400M. ** Edited by HokieAl at 2/22/2024, 9:23:55 AM
Posted: 02/22/2024 at 09:23 AM ET
(In response to this post by 133193Hokie)

Thread Replies (44)

Full Thread →
@Hokie83 Is there an anticipated timeline of when you think things
olemisshokie4life • 02/21/24 12:55 PM ET
If there is a FSU Ruling where they can exit the ACC after paying whatever
Hokie83 • 02/21/24 06:06 PM ET
Why do you think the ACC will be done?
VTCALS72 • 02/21/24 07:36 PM ET
If Fsu is able to jump I expect other schools to do the same as soon as
Hokie83 • 02/22/24 07:31 AM ET
Why would others jump?
VTCALS72 • 02/22/24 08:57 AM ET
The GOR means ........
2hhoop3 • 02/22/24 10:10 PM ET
Great analysis
vtfaninnc • 02/22/24 09:53 PM ET
I can see a exodus of the non Private schools
Hokie83 • 02/22/24 10:17 AM ET
Yep, everybody is guessing and the ground under those guesses shifts often**
VTCALS72 • 02/22/24 11:11 AM ET
What might a revenue sharing deal look like?**
Femoyer Hokie • 02/22/24 10:29 AM ET
Socialism! :)**
NokieHokie • 02/22/24 10:33 AM ET
Can you please explain what you mean by a revenue sharing deal? Who would
Stech • 02/22/24 10:29 AM ET
Dont know enough of the specifics to
Hokie83 • 02/22/24 10:35 AM ET
Thanks I look forward to it, is this inside the ACC or broader than that?**
Stech • 02/22/24 11:00 AM ET
Much Broader **
Hokie83 • 02/22/24 02:13 PM ET
I thought so after reading the ESPN & USA Today I posted above on CFP**
Stech • 02/22/24 03:45 PM ET
$300 Million........
2hhoop3 • 02/21/24 07:50 PM ET
And they are leaving because they think the value is > $572 Million
vtfaninnc • 02/22/24 09:58 PM ET
I do not think the ACC is worried......
2hhoop3 • 02/22/24 10:30 PM ET
Awesome
vtfaninnc • 02/26/24 07:25 PM ET
Would it surprise you that I disagree? Just reading tea leaves.
33laszlo99 • 02/21/24 09:40 PM ET
Care to actually put a number........
2hhoop3 • 02/21/24 10:26 PM ET
It does not surprise me .......
2hhoop3 • 02/21/24 10:11 PM ET
I will spitball < $200 Million.**
33laszlo99 • 02/21/24 11:47 PM ET
Thanks.....
2hhoop3 • 02/22/24 10:39 AM ET
400 Plus ...**
Hokie83 • 02/22/24 07:32 AM ET
I think $250-$350M. But even if it is $500M, it is a business deal/
133193Hokie • 02/22/24 08:15 AM ET
Feels like the Price is Right. I'll say $201M ◄
HokieAl • 02/22/24 09:23 AM ET
Agree on being a Business Deal **
Hokie83 • 02/22/24 08:24 AM ET
Do your instincts tell you we would be more likely Big ten or SEC**
olemisshokie4life • 02/22/24 08:31 AM ET
Think Admin prefers the Big
Hokie83 • 02/22/24 08:55 AM ET
I hope they don’t over think it. Just go SEC.**
hokieball • 02/22/24 06:33 PM ET
Is it true that we're working toward becoming an AAU school?**
hokie77 • 02/22/24 11:34 AM ET
We've been working on that for years. I asked Prez Steger about that.....
CrystalCoveHokie • 02/22/24 01:27 PM ET
As an outsider, you already have the academics to be invited - but
Big12 guy • 02/22/24 12:10 PM ET
Would ND go with 5 to SEC? POD of 6 maybe**
MrFantastic! • 02/22/24 09:10 AM ET
I’ve heard Admin prefers B1G, most in the Athletic Department prefer SEC,
Stech • 02/22/24 09:00 AM ET
Lets hope SEC ;-)**
133193Hokie • 02/22/24 08:51 AM ET
I would be ecstatic with either :) **
Hokie83 • 02/22/24 10:19 AM ET
would it be Tech / UVA, UNC/NCST Clemson FSU ? **
olemisshokie4life • 02/22/24 01:55 PM ET
I just hope that VT does not overplay their desire to go B1G at
133193Hokie • 02/22/24 12:24 PM ET
Not 83 but
MrFantastic! • 02/21/24 01:58 PM ET
You don’t think the ESPN-ACC contract option next year will accelerate?
HokieAl • 02/21/24 03:00 PM ET
I think unless/until we see the text of what FSU describes as "the
daveinop • 02/22/24 09:00 AM ET
Depends on what ESPN wants to do**
wwhokie1 • 02/21/24 06:04 PM ET