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Would it surprise you that I disagree? Just reading tea leaves.

These are the telling signals in the most recent ACC court filing, as reported by Matt Baker in Tampa Bay Times (02-16): "If Florida State wishes to regain control of the rights before the end of the term, it could attempt to repurchase them," the filing said. "But having to buy back a right which was assigned is not a penalty; it is simply a commercial possibility.” First, this is the announcement to anyone interested that The ACC is willing to settle out of court. That has not been part of the discussion until now. Second, they make the point that buying back the rights is not a penalty. Why do they say that out-of-the-blue? It’s because the exit fee is liquidated damages and would probably preclude the seeking of further damages. If the conference tries to attach future media money to the value of the FSU rights, it may look as though they are calculating damages. So... the value of the FSU rights will be determined… how? The rights were assigned without monetary payment. So, what is their value? Well, what is their function? I would say that the GoR is just an instrument that gives some sense of stability to the media company who wishes to invest in ACC content. It’s akin to buying an airline ticket at the higher price because it allows changes of travel dates without penalty and earns bonus miles. But most of the value is just securing a seat on the flight, just as most of the value for The ACC is bundling ACC football content. Does FSU really have damning accusations that they could weaponize in a trial? I surely don’t know. And maybe the conference doesn’t even know. But the conference might know if such problems exist. Has FSU shared this information with other schools or are they using it as their own lever? Could this compel the conference to settle quickly and bury the threatening secrets? All speculation, but these are the reasons I think FSU will escape The ACC much more cheaply than others have predicted. ** Edited by 33laszlo99 at 2/21/2024, 9:47:52 PM
Posted: 02/21/2024 at 09:40 PM ET
(In response to this post by 2hhoop3)

Thread Replies (44)

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@Hokie83 Is there an anticipated timeline of when you think things
olemisshokie4life 02/21/24 12:55 PM ET
If there is a FSU Ruling where they can exit the ACC after paying whatever
Hokie83 02/21/24 06:06 PM ET
Why do you think the ACC will be done?
VTCALS72 02/21/24 07:36 PM ET
If Fsu is able to jump I expect other schools to do the same as soon as
Hokie83 02/22/24 07:31 AM ET
Why would others jump?
VTCALS72 02/22/24 08:57 AM ET
The GOR means ........
2hhoop3 02/22/24 10:10 PM ET
Great analysis
vtfaninnc 02/22/24 09:53 PM ET
I can see a exodus of the non Private schools
Hokie83 02/22/24 10:17 AM ET
Yep, everybody is guessing and the ground under those guesses shifts often**
VTCALS72 02/22/24 11:11 AM ET
What might a revenue sharing deal look like?**
Femoyer Hokie 02/22/24 10:29 AM ET
Socialism! :)**
NokieHokie 02/22/24 10:33 AM ET
Can you please explain what you mean by a revenue sharing deal? Who would
Stech 02/22/24 10:29 AM ET
Dont know enough of the specifics to
Hokie83 02/22/24 10:35 AM ET
Thanks I look forward to it, is this inside the ACC or broader than that?**
Stech 02/22/24 11:00 AM ET
Much Broader **
Hokie83 02/22/24 02:13 PM ET
I thought so after reading the ESPN & USA Today I posted above on CFP**
Stech 02/22/24 03:45 PM ET
$300 Million........
2hhoop3 02/21/24 07:50 PM ET
And they are leaving because they think the value is > $572 Million
vtfaninnc 02/22/24 09:58 PM ET
I do not think the ACC is worried......
2hhoop3 02/22/24 10:30 PM ET
Awesome
vtfaninnc 02/26/24 07:25 PM ET
Would it surprise you that I disagree? Just reading tea leaves.
33laszlo99 02/21/24 09:40 PM ET
Care to actually put a number........
2hhoop3 02/21/24 10:26 PM ET
It does not surprise me .......
2hhoop3 02/21/24 10:11 PM ET
I will spitball < $200 Million.**
33laszlo99 02/21/24 11:47 PM ET
Thanks.....
2hhoop3 02/22/24 10:39 AM ET
400 Plus ...**
Hokie83 02/22/24 07:32 AM ET
I think $250-$350M. But even if it is $500M, it is a business deal/
133193Hokie 02/22/24 08:15 AM ET
Feels like the Price is Right. I'll say $201M
HokieAl 02/22/24 09:23 AM ET
Agree on being a Business Deal **
Hokie83 02/22/24 08:24 AM ET
Do your instincts tell you we would be more likely Big ten or SEC**
olemisshokie4life 02/22/24 08:31 AM ET
Think Admin prefers the Big
Hokie83 02/22/24 08:55 AM ET
I hope they don’t over think it. Just go SEC.**
hokieball 02/22/24 06:33 PM ET
Is it true that we're working toward becoming an AAU school?**
hokie77 02/22/24 11:34 AM ET
We've been working on that for years. I asked Prez Steger about that.....
CrystalCoveHokie 02/22/24 01:27 PM ET
As an outsider, you already have the academics to be invited - but
Big12 guy 02/22/24 12:10 PM ET
Would ND go with 5 to SEC? POD of 6 maybe**
MrFantastic! 02/22/24 09:10 AM ET
I’ve heard Admin prefers B1G, most in the Athletic Department prefer SEC,
Stech 02/22/24 09:00 AM ET
Lets hope SEC ;-)**
133193Hokie 02/22/24 08:51 AM ET
I would be ecstatic with either :) **
Hokie83 02/22/24 10:19 AM ET
would it be Tech / UVA, UNC/NCST Clemson FSU ? **
olemisshokie4life 02/22/24 01:55 PM ET
I just hope that VT does not overplay their desire to go B1G at
133193Hokie 02/22/24 12:24 PM ET
Not 83 but
MrFantastic! 02/21/24 01:58 PM ET
You don’t think the ESPN-ACC contract option next year will accelerate?
HokieAl 02/21/24 03:00 PM ET
I think unless/until we see the text of what FSU describes as "the
daveinop 02/22/24 09:00 AM ET
Depends on what ESPN wants to do**
wwhokie1 02/21/24 06:04 PM ET