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Agree with the premise, but using a less dramatic parallel...
NASCAR.
NASCAR was a regional sport with a loyal and passionate fanbase. They grew and strengthened that fanbase, plus added the next level of fans who became fairly loyal, through a partnership with a growing cable network called ESPN. They reached a point where their next growth was non-sports fans and pushing outside their regional roots, plus getting greedy, they bought up tracks and pushed out the long time small owners (teams and tracks) to create a more corporate environment while moving to NBC (to whom they were just another property to sell as opposed to their symbiotic relationship with ESPN).
Consolidation of teams began, the racing became boilerplate, everything sponsored and corporate. They attracted some of those non-sports fans, but in the process the sports fans (non-die hards) lost interest because it was no longer exciting, you knew every week which 4 or 5 drivers was going to win, conversations about late cautions that benefited the same teams every week began and the fans stopped tuning in. Without the ratings, NBC cut back, the fans stopped packing the tracks, ESPN moved on to college sports and corn-hole (they even tried to make Bass Fishing a thing to provide content for those that lost interest in NASCAR).
So now NASCAR is kind of an outcast. Still there, still lots of money, but just floundering around. It has a core audience that will never leave it, but it is what it is, and it isn't something most people talk about.
That is where CFB is heading IMO. We are at peak CFB, they are now in the we have to grow and they are forgetting what the core is (the broad swath of fans that cares about their school and that creates interest in other games) in their search for the next fan. We're starting to move on, not even watching most of our school's games and watching almost none of the other games. These huge contracts won't generate the growth that is required to meet their payouts, even if there isn't contraction of revenue, there won't be significant growth. Then what, these schools that are jumping for the huge paydays are not gonna see them. The bubble will burst, just like NASCAR's, and the promises of huge money won't be there.
Posted: 08/03/2023 at 12:25 PM ET
(In response to this post by anotherdamnyankeehokie)
Thread Replies (30)
Pat Forde article on realignment is worth reading. A "soulless spiral".
-- Maroon Baboon
Aug 03, 2023 at 01:21 AM ET
Maroon Baboon
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08/03/23 01:21 AM ET
Gone are the days of Al Groh vandalizing his own field for motivation!**
-- I-W-K-Y-I-T-N
Aug 03, 2023 at 12:28 PM ET
I-W-K-Y-I-T-N
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08/03/23 12:28 PM ET
I disagree the WWI analogy is that much of a stretch when you consider the
-- VTHokie2000
Aug 03, 2023 at 12:03 PM ET
VTHokie2000
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08/03/23 12:03 PM ET
I don't hate the analogy, but the alliances were set before the shot in WWI
-- Maroon Baboon
Aug 03, 2023 at 12:13 PM ET
Maroon Baboon
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08/03/23 12:13 PM ET
The SEC taking advantage of the bylaws so it could host a conference
-- VTHokie2000
Aug 03, 2023 at 12:16 PM ET
VTHokie2000
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08/03/23 12:16 PM ET
I actually think the analogy to events leading up to WW1 is needed. If I
-- anotherdamnyankeehokie
Aug 03, 2023 at 10:18 AM ET
anotherdamnyankeehokie
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08/03/23 10:18 AM ET
Agree with the premise, but using a less dramatic parallel...
◄
-- Vienna_Hokie
Aug 03, 2023 at 12:25 PM ET
Vienna_Hokie
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08/03/23 12:25 PM ET
Excellent article - dramatic but excellent**
-- Hockeydad
Aug 03, 2023 at 09:37 AM ET
Hockeydad
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08/03/23 09:37 AM ET
He said what a lot of folks are thinking
-- ren_hoek
Aug 03, 2023 at 07:38 AM ET
ren_hoek
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08/03/23 07:38 AM ET
Yep, bragging rights have gotten quite expensive.**
-- RJHokie
Aug 03, 2023 at 09:23 AM ET
RJHokie
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08/03/23 09:23 AM ET
At the end of the day we'll all still love to watch our teams
-- 4thosehokies
Aug 03, 2023 at 07:48 AM ET
4thosehokies
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08/03/23 07:48 AM ET
I disagree. I think CFB has a rude awakening coming.
-- MP4VT2004
Aug 03, 2023 at 11:40 PM ET
MP4VT2004
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08/03/23 11:40 PM ET
It's not about us watching our team. It's about us watching other games.
-- Maroon Baboon
Aug 03, 2023 at 11:11 AM ET
Maroon Baboon
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08/03/23 11:11 AM ET
I watch VT football...exclusively
-- EDGEMAN
Aug 03, 2023 at 11:41 AM ET
EDGEMAN
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08/03/23 11:41 AM ET
I pretty much have been avoiding the SEC and B1G for years unless....
-- Old Line Hokie
Aug 03, 2023 at 11:15 AM ET
Old Line Hokie
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08/03/23 11:15 AM ET
couldn't agree more. 4thosehokies may not have read articles about the
-- anotherdamnyankeehokie
Aug 03, 2023 at 10:59 AM ET
anotherdamnyankeehokie
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08/03/23 10:59 AM ET
The money has improved. Everything else is basically declined**
-- wwhokie1
Aug 03, 2023 at 09:40 AM ET
wwhokie1
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08/03/23 09:40 AM ET
Yeah, I know dozens of Tech grads who no longer watch Tech sports.
-- Old Line Hokie
Aug 03, 2023 at 09:41 AM ET
Old Line Hokie
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08/03/23 09:41 AM ET
Maybe? And maybe that works for younger generations, not for others
-- WestyHokie
Aug 03, 2023 at 08:44 AM ET
WestyHokie
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08/03/23 08:44 AM ET
What you mention isn't a recent change by any means**
-- Seikoh_04
Aug 03, 2023 at 09:08 AM ET
Seikoh_04
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08/03/23 09:08 AM ET
Stadiums aren’t filled for lesser programs
-- Colonel Jessup
Aug 03, 2023 at 08:32 AM ET
Colonel Jessup
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08/03/23 08:32 AM ET
Agreed. I used to be a CFB fan. I'm turning into a VT only fan and
-- IV_Hokie12
Aug 03, 2023 at 09:03 AM ET
IV_Hokie12
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08/03/23 09:03 AM ET
Agreed for me as well.
-- Gobbler Guru
Aug 03, 2023 at 01:13 PM ET
Gobbler Guru
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08/03/23 01:13 PM ET
Great read and I agree with his views. Ideally...won't happen....all P5
-- VintonHokies
Aug 03, 2023 at 07:29 AM ET
VintonHokies
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08/03/23 07:29 AM ET
Yeah. Ideally, there could be some requirements for being in the top tier
-- goodbadugly
Aug 03, 2023 at 09:52 AM ET
goodbadugly
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08/03/23 09:52 AM ET