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Joined: 10/30/2003
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I'll try to summarize.

Hindsight is 20/20 so I believe that my evaluations are pretty solid looking at production after five years. I'm also just assiging a plus or minus to each recruit based on performance so that's easier than assigning a score to each recruit. I don't think anyone can accurately predict the success of a recruit at the next level since many of them peak in high school, get kicked off teams for rules violations, have to medically retire and lack the smarts to pass their classes and learn the playbook. I copied my overall conclusion from the analyses and pasted it below. I'm going to try to release the 2020 VA Top 25 Analysis in the next few days. High school recruiting rankings are not reliable and should only be reviewed five or six years later. While the five star recruits have outstanding contribution rates, attrition among the remainder of the Virginia top 25 recruits remains significant. Rankings cannot be relied upon when the attrition rates on average exceed forty percent annually. There are also several players outside of the top 25 who contribute at their programs and achieve NFL success.
Posted: 06/16/2026 at 08:47 PM ET
(In response to this post by HokieNL)

Thread Replies (34)

Full Thread →
Recruit Rankings...
HokieNL 06/15/26 02:34 PM ET
Transfer/Portal kids are a different animal altogether...
Techsupport 06/16/26 11:54 AM ET
Some would say it's all a dice roll...
HokieNL 06/16/26 01:43 PM ET
Your last sentence is all that matters. It's not rocket science**
Techsupport 06/16/26 02:01 PM ET
I argue that they don't matter since they are not perfect nor absolute!
Flanker 06/16/26 06:33 AM ET
Very interesting. It proves that most players can improve if coached**
BigDaddyHokie 06/16/26 04:13 PM ET
That's a good point. Coaching plays a role.
Flanker 06/16/26 04:35 PM ET
What's bs is the concept of "contributor"...
Techsupport 06/16/26 12:07 PM ET
I'm a Tech fan so I'd still keep Tech's contributors. Go away troll!
Flanker 06/16/26 04:30 PM ET
Go on the record..So VT has more talent than Ohio State? For how long now?
Techsupport 06/17/26 10:38 AM ET
Troll? Overstate, any?
HokieNL 06/16/26 06:38 PM ET
deleted
Techsupport 06/17/26 10:36 AM ET
Let him go...he's just proving how unhinged he is. **
Techsupport 06/17/26 10:23 AM ET
That troll and I have been arguing for THREE YEARS!
Flanker 06/16/26 06:50 PM ET
Three years, and a day, I see, so this is not a new 'discussion'**
HokieNL 06/16/26 06:59 PM ET
I'm always downplaying recruiting and that doesn't work for some people.
Flanker 06/16/26 07:45 PM ET
Nice backpedal
Techsupport 06/17/26 10:24 AM ET
Follow up question...
HokieNL 06/16/26 08:17 PM ET
I'll try to summarize.
Flanker 06/16/26 08:47 PM ET
Your overall message is true.....
2hhoop3 06/16/26 08:16 PM ET
Good points
Flanker 06/16/26 08:52 PM ET
Another backpedal. This troll's work is done here. **
Techsupport 06/17/26 10:25 AM ET
I have always viewed HS recruiting as the "Rule of Thirds" because you are
VTHokie2000 06/16/26 09:02 AM ET
That sounds like a good theory.
Flanker 06/16/26 09:48 AM ET
Oh I agree there is probably more variability. Also, I am not sure the
VTHokie2000 06/16/26 10:11 AM ET
Age is what concerns me about UVA ,they will have a much older team than VT**
SuperFeHokie 06/15/26 04:14 PM ET
solid point..Coach Franklin has some runway and using a different
VT757to276 06/16/26 01:35 PM ET
but are they quality; can they be coached up properly?
lazarus1 06/15/26 09:27 PM ET
It does to a certain extent...
BuffaloTraceHokie 06/15/26 09:21 PM ET
Damn they had 19
crazylane 06/15/26 04:44 PM ET
It may take a few years for our team to mature but the raw talent is coming**
BigDaddyHokie 06/15/26 04:19 PM ET
What he has done at IU is very impressive, but will that continue
turkeywinghokie 06/15/26 04:05 PM ET
You say "no credible argument" but then use IU as a counterpoint?
marcbvtgm 06/15/26 03:12 PM ET
100 percent spot on. As for Indiana
Hate2SeeItEnd Hokie 06/15/26 03:04 PM ET
Well said!**
HokieNL 06/16/26 01:48 PM ET