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Joined:
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I'll try to summarize.
Hindsight is 20/20 so I believe that my evaluations are pretty solid looking at production after five years. I'm also just assiging a plus or minus to each recruit based on performance so that's easier than assigning a score to each recruit. I don't think anyone can accurately predict the success of a recruit at the next level since many of them peak in high school, get kicked off teams for rules violations, have to medically retire and lack the smarts to pass their classes and learn the playbook. I copied my overall conclusion from the analyses and pasted it below. I'm going to try to release the 2020 VA Top 25 Analysis in the next few days.
High school recruiting rankings are not reliable and should only be reviewed five or six years later. While the five star recruits have outstanding contribution rates, attrition among the remainder of the Virginia top 25 recruits remains significant. Rankings cannot be relied upon when the attrition rates on average exceed forty percent annually. There are also several players outside of the top 25 who contribute at their programs and achieve NFL success.
Thread Replies (34)
Transfer/Portal kids are a different animal altogether...
-- Techsupport
Jun 16, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET
Techsupport
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06/16/26 11:54 AM ET
Some would say it's all a dice roll...
-- HokieNL
Jun 16, 2026 at 01:43 PM ET
HokieNL
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06/16/26 01:43 PM ET
Your last sentence is all that matters. It's not rocket science**
-- Techsupport
Jun 16, 2026 at 02:01 PM ET
Techsupport
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06/16/26 02:01 PM ET
I argue that they don't matter since they are not perfect nor absolute!
-- Flanker
Jun 16, 2026 at 06:33 AM ET
Flanker
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06/16/26 06:33 AM ET
Very interesting. It proves that most players can improve if coached**
-- BigDaddyHokie
Jun 16, 2026 at 04:13 PM ET
BigDaddyHokie
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06/16/26 04:13 PM ET
That's a good point. Coaching plays a role.
-- Flanker
Jun 16, 2026 at 04:35 PM ET
Flanker
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06/16/26 04:35 PM ET
What's bs is the concept of "contributor"...
-- Techsupport
Jun 16, 2026 at 12:07 PM ET
Techsupport
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06/16/26 12:07 PM ET
I'm a Tech fan so I'd still keep Tech's contributors. Go away troll!
-- Flanker
Jun 16, 2026 at 04:30 PM ET
Flanker
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06/16/26 04:30 PM ET
Go on the record..So VT has more talent than Ohio State? For how long now?
-- Techsupport
Jun 17, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET
Techsupport
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06/17/26 10:38 AM ET
Let him go...he's just proving how unhinged he is. **
-- Techsupport
Jun 17, 2026 at 10:23 AM ET
Techsupport
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06/17/26 10:23 AM ET
That troll and I have been arguing for THREE YEARS!
-- Flanker
Jun 16, 2026 at 06:50 PM ET
Flanker
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06/16/26 06:50 PM ET
Three years, and a day, I see, so this is not a new 'discussion'**
-- HokieNL
Jun 16, 2026 at 06:59 PM ET
HokieNL
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06/16/26 06:59 PM ET
I'm always downplaying recruiting and that doesn't work for some people.
-- Flanker
Jun 16, 2026 at 07:45 PM ET
Flanker
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06/16/26 07:45 PM ET
Your overall message is true.....
-- 2hhoop3
Jun 16, 2026 at 08:16 PM ET
2hhoop3
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06/16/26 08:16 PM ET
Another backpedal. This troll's work is done here. **
-- Techsupport
Jun 17, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
Techsupport
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06/17/26 10:25 AM ET
I have always viewed HS recruiting as the "Rule of Thirds" because you are
-- VTHokie2000
Jun 16, 2026 at 09:02 AM ET
VTHokie2000
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06/16/26 09:02 AM ET
That sounds like a good theory.
-- Flanker
Jun 16, 2026 at 09:48 AM ET
Flanker
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06/16/26 09:48 AM ET
Oh I agree there is probably more variability. Also, I am not sure the
-- VTHokie2000
Jun 16, 2026 at 10:11 AM ET
VTHokie2000
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06/16/26 10:11 AM ET
Age is what concerns me about UVA ,they will have a much older team than VT**
-- SuperFeHokie
Jun 15, 2026 at 04:14 PM ET
SuperFeHokie
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06/15/26 04:14 PM ET
solid point..Coach Franklin has some runway and using a different
-- VT757to276
Jun 16, 2026 at 01:35 PM ET
VT757to276
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06/16/26 01:35 PM ET
but are they quality; can they be coached up properly?
-- lazarus1
Jun 15, 2026 at 09:27 PM ET
lazarus1
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06/15/26 09:27 PM ET
It does to a certain extent...
-- BuffaloTraceHokie
Jun 15, 2026 at 09:21 PM ET
BuffaloTraceHokie
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06/15/26 09:21 PM ET
It may take a few years for our team to mature but the raw talent is coming**
-- BigDaddyHokie
Jun 15, 2026 at 04:19 PM ET
BigDaddyHokie
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06/15/26 04:19 PM ET
What he has done at IU is very impressive, but will that continue
-- turkeywinghokie
Jun 15, 2026 at 04:05 PM ET
turkeywinghokie
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06/15/26 04:05 PM ET
You say "no credible argument" but then use IU as a counterpoint?
-- marcbvtgm
Jun 15, 2026 at 03:12 PM ET
marcbvtgm
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06/15/26 03:12 PM ET
100 percent spot on. As for Indiana
-- Hate2SeeItEnd Hokie
Jun 15, 2026 at 03:04 PM ET
Hate2SeeItEnd Hokie
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06/15/26 03:04 PM ET