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VTVOICE
Joined: 01/12/2000
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The idea that "AI only knows what is posted online" is like saying

accountants only know what is printed in the newspaper. In reality, specialized AI models use Aggregated Compliance Data and Market Logic, not just social media posts. AI derived ----> Here is how AI actually gets those "unpublished" numbers: 1. Mandatory Disclosure (The "NIL Go" System) As of 2025–2026, the College Sports Commission (CSC) requires Division I athletes to report any NIL deal over $600 to a centralized platform called NIL Go. While the public can't see individual contracts, the CSC and third-party data firms (like Opendorse or On3) release anonymized, aggregate reports based on these thousands of real, private filings. AI doesn't need to see "Player X’s" bank account; it analyzes the statistical reports from these clearinghouses that summarize the medians, averages, and deal frequencies across the entire NCAA. 2. The "Denominator" Advantage The most common mistake human detractors make is looking at the numerator (the flashy deals they see on Twitter) and ignoring the denominator (the 550,000+ NCAA athletes who exist). AI is excellent at "Denominator Math." It knows exactly how many roster spots exist in Division I basketball. By taking the total market spend (verified by tax filings from NIL Collectives) and dividing it by the total number of players, the AI can mathematically prove that if 50 players make $1M, there isn't enough money left for the other 4,000 players to be making more than a few hundred dollars. 3. Valuations vs. Earnings Detractors often confuse On3 Valuations with actual checks cashed. Modern NIL platforms use proprietary algorithms to estimate "Fair Market Value" based on social media followers, local market size, and position. AI models are trained on historical data from thousands of completed deals. Even if a specific deal isn't public, the AI knows what a "Point Guard at a mid-major with 5k followers" typically gets because it has seen the anonymized data for 500 other players in that exact same bucket. 4. Revenue Sharing Transparency With the House v. NCAA settlement fully active in 2026, schools now have a $20.5M cap for direct payments to players. Since these are university expenditures, they eventually appear in EADA (Equity in Athletics Disclosure Act) reports and public university budget filings. This turns "private NIL" into "public payroll," making the data much more accessible to AI analysis.
Posted: 03/13/2026 at 08:59 PM ET
(In response to this post by NokieHokie)

Thread Replies (57)

Full Thread →
I asked AI What does the average Division 1 basketball player earn in NIL $
YBYSAIAHokie 03/11/26 11:06 PM ET
What I understand your point to be here is -------->
VTVOICE 03/13/26 09:41 PM ET
You are a man of great wisdom and insight, my friend. **
YBYSAIAHokie 03/13/26 10:47 PM ET
Honest question. Although I agree with @NokieHokie 's
saret 03/13/26 11:12 AM ET
AI does say 'For Division I men’s basketball specifically'**
YBYSAIAHokie 03/13/26 02:22 PM ET
Okay, so that explains your semantic confusion, but it doesn't mean
saret 03/13/26 09:03 PM ET
Dubious info, but if true, it'd actually be fairly reflective of true value**
marcbvtgm 03/12/26 11:11 AM ET
AI really know. In order for AI to "know" something it has to have been
King of Hokies 03/12/26 08:01 AM ET
Not true. AI is excellent at "Denominator Math." It knows exactly how many
VTVOICE 03/13/26 08:30 PM ET
Whoa! Slow up here VOICE.
saret 03/13/26 08:59 PM ET
Actually, you’re looking for a paper trail while everyone else is looking
VTVOICE 03/13/26 09:57 PM ET
OK, provide some of the "...aggregate reports from platforms like NIL Go
saret 03/13/26 10:14 PM ET
Since you asked so nicely (and because a CPA should know how to read a
VTVOICE 03/13/26 10:31 PM ET
So you think AI got this info from message board posts? Seriously?
YBYSAIAHokie 03/12/26 09:39 AM ET
Not KoH, but, KoH brings up a valid point. The actual numbers
saret 03/13/26 11:14 AM ET
See my response to KOH above. See thelink below. It is just one source I
VTVOICE 03/13/26 08:36 PM ET
Where do you think AI got it from? That's the real question...**
NokieHokie 03/13/26 09:20 AM ET
He is the .....
2hhoop3 03/13/26 12:52 PM ET
So, was what the OP posted incorrect? Where are your facts to dispute?**
VTVOICE 03/13/26 08:39 PM ET
He, like you, above, misrepresents......
2hhoop3 03/13/26 08:56 PM ET
You’re demanding a private tax audit to prove the sky is blue. We don’t
VTVOICE 03/13/26 10:10 PM ET
Again, where's your evidence? "We don’t need a 1099 to know a backup
saret 03/14/26 10:28 AM ET
You’re asking for evidence, so let's look at the actual legal filings from
VTVOICE 03/14/26 10:59 AM ET
First, give me some links. The link you did supply says nothing that
saret 03/14/26 11:45 AM ET
My last response to you on this subject ------>
VTVOICE 03/14/26 07:06 PM ET
I pointed out inconsistencies.....
2hhoop3 03/13/26 10:39 PM ET
It’s interesting that when I provided the specific March 2026
VTVOICE 03/14/26 12:07 AM ET
You have been provided.....
2hhoop3 03/14/26 10:08 AM ET
The internet. Do you think everything on the internet is wrong?
YBYSAIAHokie 03/13/26 10:10 AM ET
It's absolutely wrong enough to not trust anything it says.
Atlee Hokie 03/13/26 12:43 PM ET
"anything"?**
VTVOICE 03/13/26 08:42 PM ET
So you don't trust anything you read ever?**
YBYSAIAHokie 03/13/26 02:11 PM ET
Again, I am not @NokieHokie , but to answer your questions, info on the
saret 03/13/26 11:17 AM ET
That's a very subjective answer. Dubious, not always wrong, probably.
YBYSAIAHokie 03/13/26 02:20 PM ET
Take your thought process to go along with the 2nd shooter theory.**
saret 03/13/26 09:04 PM ET
No and no. But you think it's correct enough to take such an aggressive
NokieHokie 03/13/26 10:16 AM ET
The idea that "AI only knows what is posted online" is like saying
VTVOICE 03/13/26 08:59 PM ET
There’s stupid and then there’s you with AI. **
Brewing_Hokie 03/13/26 09:29 PM ET
Man, this explanation is so full of holes, it would take a treatise to list
saret 03/13/26 09:25 PM ET
You have an opinion, I have an opinion both based on what appears to be
VTCALS72 03/14/26 10:10 AM ET
Typical non-responsive response from you.
saret 03/14/26 10:20 AM ET
I was trying to be nice
VTCALS72 03/14/26 10:27 AM ET
CALS, I owe you an apology. I thought you were @VTVOICE.
saret 03/14/26 10:30 AM ET
My logical analysis told me that post was not directed at me.
VTCALS72 03/14/26 10:33 AM ET
Well, I still do profusely apologize. Through all the
saret 03/14/26 11:16 AM ET
Ignore because you can't counter with specifics, just noise.**
VTVOICE 03/13/26 09:49 PM ET
Again, my apologies to @VTCALS72 .**
saret 03/13/26 10:01 PM ET
Board posts, media "reporting", etc, it's still garbage in, garbage out**
marcbvtgm 03/12/26 11:20 AM ET
ALOT of ai is pulled from Reddit and other message boards **
AnotherTechW 03/12/26 10:28 AM ET
Is there a point you are trying to make here?**
VTVOICE 03/13/26 09:02 PM ET
How do you know it's 'ALOT'?
YBYSAIAHokie 03/12/26 12:56 PM ET
You are currently digging yourself into a hole that @VTVOICE has
saret 03/13/26 11:20 AM ET
Valid questions, but needing an informed response and willingness to
VTVOICE 03/13/26 09:06 PM ET
My faith in humanity was already super low, but these AI clowns are making
NokieHokie 03/13/26 12:10 PM ET
Don't worry, the AI still hasn't figured out how to fold a fitted sheet or
VTVOICE 03/13/26 09:15 PM ET
Glib, but wrong again.**
saret 03/13/26 09:31 PM ET
I will excuse your noise. :-)
VTVOICE 03/13/26 09:46 PM ET
Again, my apologies to @VTCALS72 .**
saret 03/13/26 10:00 PM ET