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jtHokie05
Joined: 03/25/2023
Posts: 45
Likes: 105
jtHokie05

Advanced Nerd Stats

Whether you look at eFG%, TS%, PER or Win Shares they all point to an obvious problem. Our highest usage player is our worst player. In the short term, if I was the coach, I would want to cut his minutes as much as possible and use him in an off-ball cutting and quick passing role. Unfortunately, for this team to reach its true ceiling (winning a tournament game or two) it probably means Neo breaks his slump rather than benching him. In the meantime, we may miss the tournament altogether hoping the slump will break. (All the NBA Draft experts I read had shooting and defense as his major question marks coming into the season, so I’m afraid it’s not just a slump).
Posted: 02/05/2026 at 03:22 PM ET
(In response to this post by jtHokie05)

Thread Replies (42)

Full Thread →
Neo Gravity and Net Rating
jtHokie05 • 02/05/26 02:39 PM ET
So you want to remove the leading assist guy (he is #1 by a wide margin)
HokieAl • 02/06/26 12:10 AM ET
ESPN stats say 4.9 assists / per game not 8.3. Do not believe that 8.3 is
uber hokie • 02/06/26 04:23 PM ET
Per 100 possessions
jtHokie05 • 02/06/26 10:26 PM ET
The espn stats are right. Everything in the original post is calculated
HokieAl • 02/06/26 05:13 PM ET
Ok got it **
uber hokie • 02/06/26 08:23 PM ET
Assists may be the least valuable stat in all of basketball
DoYouLiftHokies • 02/06/26 09:10 AM ET
All of those stats a production-centric
GCHokie34 • 02/05/26 07:33 PM ET
And if I simply had a 50” vertical I could dunk ! **
uber hokie • 02/06/26 12:52 PM ET
I think Neo is capable of hitting open shots...
GCHokie34 • 02/06/26 01:13 PM ET
Between 0-50 “ also did that this season **
uber hokie • 02/06/26 04:01 PM ET
this sentence read a little off, is it the opposite?
hokienole • 02/06/26 12:15 AM ET
The numbers say he had struggled, the eye test says he’s struggled
cbhokie1 • 02/05/26 09:11 PM ET
He has indisputably struggled, but i'm not sure less minutes is the answer
Vippie1 • 02/06/26 09:14 AM ET
I think you make a very good point about potentially using him differently
cbhokie1 • 02/06/26 12:14 PM ET
💯% he needs to play off the ball more, but he needs to move a lot more
Windows NT • 02/06/26 10:20 AM ET
Whose eyes?**
GCHokie34 • 02/05/26 09:16 PM ET
the BOOers**
Windows NT • 02/05/26 10:22 PM ET
So, you are saying he can't shoot and that is hurting the offense as a
VT ChemE 1986 • 02/05/26 05:35 PM ET
To me the low fouls per 100 also shows he is not aggressive enough on D**
Hokey Pokey • 02/05/26 04:12 PM ET
lol!!**
ancient alien 2018 • 02/05/26 09:30 PM ET
Just because there's some formula behind a stat, it doesn't make it useful.
marcbvtgm • 02/05/26 04:10 PM ET
Unfortunately, the numbers are matching**
jtHokie05 • 02/05/26 04:15 PM ET
Yeah, the numbers match with what I am seeing on the court.**
Walkin` Willie • 02/05/26 04:17 PM ET
Like the analysis at first glance but have a couple of questions.
Walkin` Willie • 02/05/26 03:58 PM ET
Explained
jtHokie05 • 02/05/26 04:14 PM ET
Never mind - the ORtg minus the DRtg is where you got the -27
Walkin` Willie • 02/05/26 04:07 PM ET
Here is a link to how the ORtg is calculated.**
Walkin` Willie • 02/05/26 04:02 PM ET
Advanced Nerd Stats ◄
jtHokie05 • 02/05/26 03:22 PM ET
You could argue teams blitzing him has helped the others
soflahokie • 02/05/26 02:56 PM ET
Numbers say opposite
jtHokie05 • 02/05/26 03:00 PM ET
Dang, those are some good numbers.
Chris ColemanAdmin • 02/05/26 02:44 PM ET
wonder who sold Mike on him?
tallahasseehokie • 02/05/26 05:15 PM ET
Dorn is dealing with a lingering injury
ShockWaveVT • 02/06/26 07:59 AM ET
Edit: Doh, realized you meant Dorn, not Neo.
Chris ColemanAdmin • 02/05/26 06:47 PM ET
Fix the post for him. I didn’t
HokieDelNorte • 02/05/26 07:04 PM ET
same guy who sold us drones**
Windows NT • 02/05/26 05:58 PM ET
We would have been better off with Wessler
VT ChemE 1986 • 02/05/26 05:37 PM ET
Yep. Wessler having an elite year….
DAngelo828 • 02/05/26 07:15 PM ET
We would have been better off with Riley Allenspach over both of them.
Chris ColemanAdmin • 02/05/26 06:49 PM ET
Bad eval
fakehokiestolenvalor • 02/05/26 09:27 PM ET
Dude walks by the refs in pregame warmups
Vippie1 • 02/05/26 04:54 PM ET
Clara Strack vs LSU vibes for Dorn. **
st_andrew • 02/05/26 03:15 PM ET