Postseason odds?
Hey Hokies! I don’t follow baseball much at all, but I’ve seen a lot of chatter about our late season run here. Do we have realistic odds of making the NCAA tournament? Thanks!
8 Replies
Q
QCP
3mo
the primary deciding factor.
PEARatings has a pretty cool Simulator tool (linked below) that allows you to play around with different scenarios and have it generate what it feels the team's NCAA projection would be. Based on their tool, winning the Clemson series at least 2-1 is a must to get in and then would need to win all of our other games outside of the Liberty game.
As of now, PEARatings has us as one of the last four teams in so we are very squarely on the bubble.
Link:
PEARatings Simulator
(In response to this post by KerrvilleHokie)
2mo
Liberty is top 26 in RPI so a win there would be a big boost but isn’t needed if we go 5-2 with series W vs Clemson and 3-0 vs UNCG -Marshall
(In response to this post by RJHokie)
R
RJHokie
2mo
We got pounded by them in Bburg earlier.
(In response to this post by hokiepro)
V
vtfin91
2mo
series though, we are very likely out. That's just always been the way with ncaa bids for acc - very few teams with sub .500 conference record have ever made the tourney.
(In response to this post by RJHokie)
3mo
The two wins over Cal certainly helped
** Edited by Will Stewart at 5/3/2026, 5:57:29 PM
(In response to this post by KerrvilleHokie)