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Without jinxing the team, here is what i think may happen:
Wins:
Cal
GT
Wake Forest
Pitt
Losses
NC State
Notre Dame
Split
Uva - 1 win / 1 loss
Swing games:
Clemson
Stanford
Unc
I think the team can/will win at least 5 more games - pitt, wake, gt, cal, and a uva game
I think they can win 1-2 of those three swing games against clemson, stanford, and unc. They will be tough but (a) all three are beatable and (b) the hokies could show their "well-playing" version in any given game. To me, this points to Tech getting 10 wins in the ACC. Will that be enough to get into the NCAA? I can see them getting 20 wins. Syracuse doing well is helping! Beating the teams they should beat is key
Nelson - remains inconsistent from outside but leads the league in assists and assist-to-turnover ratio, can get into the lane, and plays good defense. She is the engine that drives the team and, as long as she is making great decisions and gets the ball to the right people, she will help VT win more games.
Wenzel - is playing balanced basketball right now where it appears she is recognizing when something isn't there. Her three point form has returned and she is a good defender. If she can continue to shoot better than 20-something percent, continues to add assists, and avoids turnovers, the team's ceiling is higher.
Baker - leading scorer, good for 3-4 threes a game and she has to shoot threes more than she needs to score around the basket. She cant have a game like last year’s Stanford game where she didn't shoot a single three (and not because of the defense). Her defense is coming along. When she does shoot around the basket, it can't be a throwup. She is good at jumpshots around the baseline and the free throw line. i think she needs to slow down on offense, especially her passing. There is kind of a "manic/get rid of it quickly" element to it.
Freelon - staying on the court more (avoiding foul trouble). Demon on the offensive boards. Good for a double-double in any game.
Suffren - the mid-range shot is coming along. She can get into the lane but the key is her pull up jumper which gives her more balance, which is needed when tech subs. Good for 2-4 steals a game.
Daley -might be out of the doghouse. Defensive effort is improving as is her effort on the boards. Still a catch and shoot or dribble and pull up player who likely wont pass out of a shot opportunity, but as long as she hit...
Trent - her development has been key no matter how much she scores
Wells - starter. Capable 3-pt shooter who wont try to do too much and is a good defender. She can orchestrate the offense when Wenzel or Nelson are out.
Everyone else - peterson, swanson, jenkins - will see spot time. Peterson will hopefully continue to round back into form where she can give 10 quality minutes a game on defense and hit the occasional shot. Swanson has been heating up recently from 3 but will likely remain in a limited role.
Edited by VAHokie89 at 1/19/2026, 10:54:21 AM
** Edited by VAHokie89 at 1/19/2026, 10:55:59 AM
** Edited by VAHokie89 at 1/19/2026, 11:05:34 AM
** Edited by VAHokie89 at 1/19/2026, 2:56:16 PM
Posted: 01/19/2026 at 08:14 AM ET
Thread Replies (24)
Id switch ND & UNC games. ND is way more beatable with lack of depth & size**
-- Ramj4450
Jan 20, 2026 at 09:43 PM ET
Ramj4450
•
01/20/26 09:43 PM ET
The team "should" win 5 more games. @Cal and @uva are definitely winnable,
-- King of Hokies
Jan 19, 2026 at 10:04 PM ET
King of Hokies
•
01/19/26 10:04 PM ET
I’m waiting for the king to stop by and tell you you’re wrong. **
-- Stork
Jan 19, 2026 at 05:25 PM ET
Stork
•
01/19/26 05:25 PM ET
I'm waiting for you to make a post about anything of value.
-- King of Hokies
Jan 19, 2026 at 09:54 PM ET
King of Hokies
•
01/19/26 09:54 PM ET
I've got the same W-L projection that you have.
-- Spud
Jan 19, 2026 at 04:34 PM ET
Spud
•
01/19/26 04:34 PM ET
Nice. But I think Swanson can break out anytime. That would be huge.**
-- IB4TECH
Jan 19, 2026 at 02:13 PM ET
IB4TECH
•
01/19/26 02:13 PM ET
Apparently the mask was a huge issue for her vision. Shot looks much better**
-- Ramj4450
Jan 20, 2026 at 09:44 PM ET
Ramj4450
•
01/20/26 09:44 PM ET
Her form looks good they,re just not falling,confidence is not there**
-- mrknowitall
Jan 19, 2026 at 03:34 PM ET
mrknowitall
•
01/19/26 03:34 PM ET
Well confidence has been the problem. She has been looking better. **
-- IB4TECH
Jan 19, 2026 at 08:45 PM ET
IB4TECH
•
01/19/26 08:45 PM ET
Her form looks better. Earlier in the year, it was not great
-- VAHokie89
Jan 19, 2026 at 04:14 PM ET
VAHokie89
•
01/19/26 04:14 PM ET
From your lips to God's ears....**
-- j9hokie
Jan 19, 2026 at 03:02 PM ET
j9hokie
•
01/19/26 03:02 PM ET
Very good analysis **
-- Durham Hokie
Jan 19, 2026 at 12:58 PM ET
Durham Hokie
•
01/19/26 12:58 PM ET
Yeah. that hybridization of her name!!! :0. Thanks**
-- VAHokie89
Jan 19, 2026 at 10:54 AM ET
VAHokie89
•
01/19/26 10:54 AM ET
sometimes it's as simple as, if VT shoots above their average they are fine
-- VermontDDS
Jan 19, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
VermontDDS
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01/19/26 10:39 AM ET
It’s almost always that simple - it’s a miss or make game. People just love
-- uber hokie
Jan 20, 2026 at 12:23 PM ET
uber hokie
•
01/20/26 12:23 PM ET
I think our shooting is a work in progress,we're getting better**
-- mrknowitall
Jan 19, 2026 at 03:48 PM ET
mrknowitall
•
01/19/26 03:48 PM ET
That is a good take on the remaining
-- VTSweaterMan
Jan 19, 2026 at 10:09 AM ET
VTSweaterMan
•
01/19/26 10:09 AM ET
Clemson is a must win. It’s a where are we as a program game!
-- 1977hokie
Jan 19, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
1977hokie
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01/19/26 12:13 PM ET
i think Uva is a match up problem
-- VermontDDS
Jan 19, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
VermontDDS
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01/19/26 10:37 AM ET
I like that several of our players have come to embrace the mid-range
-- Stork
Jan 19, 2026 at 09:05 AM ET
Stork
•
01/19/26 09:05 AM ET
Suffren and Baker could be absolutely deadly at mid range. When Suffren
-- j9hokie
Jan 19, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
j9hokie
•
01/19/26 10:05 AM ET